inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 82 Excitement5.0 [846] MVPBobby Simmons (LAC): +9.7%
Los Angeles Clippers 94 Comeback1.1 [1078] LVPDrew Gooden (CLE): -11.1%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lucious Harris0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01765%0.0500.003100%0.02
Eric Snow0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.020.002100%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Luke Jackson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01267%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Robert Traylor-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ira Newble-0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dajuan Wagner-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.021045%0.001-0.0300%0.00
LeBron James-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.001951%0.023-0.07580%0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.060,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.001450%0.022-0.08450%-0.02
Jeff McInnis-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.011136%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
DeSagana Diop-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.00617%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.01425%-0.033-0.0800%0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.06-0.001359%0.131-0.033100%0.03
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.01576%0.0600.00771%-0.01
Quinton Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.02-0.00550%0.0200.002100%0.02
Chris Wilcox0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.010.01944%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Elton Brand0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.010.012259%0.156-0.18786%0.03
Rick Brunson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.02633%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Marko Jaric0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.001253%0.013-0.06683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.52.827.116.426.21.829.2124.9
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAC +23.1%
LAC +11.8%
LAC +9.9%
LAC +3.3%
LAC +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLELACNBACLELACNBA
this game17.215.915.595.3106.8104.0
season16.216.0104.6103.0
opponent15.515.3103.8103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE17.317.315.418.917.2
LAC14.014.718.017.115.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Jackson44-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-141615.717.3-1.5514.216.0-1.71
Anderson Varejao44-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-141615.717.3-1.5514.216.0-1.71
Lucious Harris4851-0.04-0.460.42-0.164-162016.118.6-2.5117.513.63.95
DeSagana Diop4749-0.14-0.360.22-0.171-131417.417.10.3317.014.52.42
Ira Newble2120-0.19-0.310.130.08-9-3-618.916.72.1512.416.9-4.51
Dajuan Wagner2424-0.21-0.290.07-0.18-1-111018.017.01.0115.516.0-0.47
Drew Gooden2724-0.22-0.280.050.07-10-2-818.116.81.3314.316.5-2.14
Eric Snow2323-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.11-5-7217.317.20.1615.915.9-0.02
Robert Traylor2324-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.09-6-6016.317.6-1.3316.015.90.10
Jeff McInnis6364-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-11-1-1017.317.00.3815.816.0-0.16
Zydrunas Ilgauskas7175-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.05-11-1-1017.217.5-0.2815.716.7-0.95
LeBron James7578-0.520.02-0.54-0.05-164-2017.217.4-0.1515.915.60.32

Los Angeles Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Simmons79760.52-0.020.54-0.0118-62415.717.3-1.6117.317.00.26
Elton Brand71690.490.010.49-0.0017-52215.816.1-0.2917.615.81.76
Rick Brunson46440.470.030.440.18102816.215.60.6017.517.00.50
Marko Jaric75740.400.100.300.1784415.716.8-1.0417.416.21.14
Mikki Moore32320.390.110.290.1393616.115.70.3718.216.71.47
Quinton Ross64640.110.39-0.280.11012-1216.115.40.6516.818.4-1.52
Chris Wilcox54540.100.40-0.310.0139-615.716.2-0.5216.618.2-1.62
Chris Kaman19170.020.48-0.470.16-517-2216.315.80.4816.017.5-1.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 89, LAC 1020.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,194.6%
ATL 98, NYK 1030.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,194.5%
GSW 101, HOU 1110.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,194.3%