NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	105		Excitement	5.7 [636]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +24.3%
Dallas Mavericks	108		Comeback	1.0 [895]		LVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): -15.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.11	0.02	14	72%	0.24	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.12	0.09	0.06	0.04	18	58%	0.17	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Leandro Barbosa	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	53%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,-0.07	0.02	-0.06	0.03	15	66%	0.05	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.11	-0.01	19	53%	0.21	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.11,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.10	-0.02	20	62%	0.31	5	-0.13	10	90%	0.06
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.01	16	58%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	3.4	32.2	18.8	27.9	3.7	37.2	149.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +17.3%

DAL +1.5%

DAL +21.9%

DAL +9.2%

DAL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	12.1	17.1	15.4	105.0	110.2	105.7
season	13.8	16.1		111.1	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		105.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.3	10.8	11.7	12.4	12.1
DAL	14.5	17.3	18.3	18.3	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	76	74	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.41	10	-13	23	11.6	13.7	-2.10	17.9	14.7	3.18
Shawn Marion	79	76	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.37	6	-9	15	11.6	13.7	-2.08	17.7	15.0	2.67
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-9	15	11.3	14.0	-2.68	18.1	14.7	3.38
Leandro Barbosa	54	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.03	-10	7	-17	12.9	11.1	1.78	17.3	16.8	0.54
Brian Skinner	25	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	8	-19	14.5	11.3	3.27	14.3	18.0	-3.75
Raja Bell	76	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.46	2	-5	7	11.8	12.9	-1.06	16.6	18.9	-2.31
Boris Diaw	43	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	14	-31	13.3	11.1	2.16	15.7	18.0	-2.28
Grant Hill	75	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	-2	1	11.9	12.6	-0.65	16.8	18.1	-1.36

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	81	85	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	-2	7	17.6	14.8	2.79	12.4	10.5	1.89
Josh Howard	74	76	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	4	-5	17.6	15.4	2.25	11.1	15.3	-4.24
Devin Harris	65	67	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	-1	5	17.1	16.9	0.20	12.2	11.8	0.33
Jason Terry	56	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	2	-1	16.7	17.6	-0.96	12.8	11.2	1.62
Devean George	13	16	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	-2	7	18.8	16.8	2.05	13.4	11.8	1.55
Eddie Jones	38	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	-4	11	16.2	17.6	-1.49	12.0	12.1	-0.11
Brandon Bass	27	25	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.16	2	1	1	17.4	17.0	0.41	12.7	11.9	0.81
Erick Dampier	60	63	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	4	-5	17.8	16.0	1.79	11.6	12.8	-1.22
Jerry Stackhouse	58	61	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.37	-9	12	-21	16.7	17.6	-0.94	12.0	12.2	-0.26
DeSagana Diop	18	16	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	1	1	12.8	18.0	-5.26	12.5	12.0	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 91, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
NYK 88, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
IND 87, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%