NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	91		Excitement	5.0 [792]		MVP	Hot Rod Williams (PHX): +9.9%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	1.0 [1166]		LVP	John Wallace (TOR): -10.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Respert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	5	77%	0.08	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Tim Kempton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Garner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	16	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	14	50%	0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.03	8	60%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Oliver Miller	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	8	55%	0.05	5	-0.11	6	67%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	9	40%	-0.04	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
John Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	16	56%	0.08	6	-0.18	4	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	9	78%	0.16	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	7	81%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	9	76%	0.10	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	11	57%	0.04	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Marko Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	62%	0.06	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	8	50%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	5	36%	-0.01	4	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	25.5	15.4	23.2	2.8	29.3	123.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +36.5%

PHX +1.1%

TOR -0.9%

PHX +10.0%

PHX +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHX	NBA	TOR	PHX	NBA
this game	15.3	13.3	15.6	88.3	112.2	102.5
season	15.5	15.0		98.7	105.3
opponent	15.9	14.8		100.0	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.8	15.3	17.0	16.9	15.3
PHX	12.0	14.7	13.6	13.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Garner	19	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-17	15	13.2	15.8	-2.60	12.7	13.4	-0.69
Tim Kempton	14	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-14	9	14.4	15.5	-1.04	17.9	12.6	5.36
Reggie Slater	70	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-16	13	15.1	15.8	-0.76	14.0	11.6	2.43
Doug Christie	72	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.10	-12	-7	-5	15.3	15.5	-0.17	12.9	14.2	-1.32
John Wallace	81	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	-4	-11	15.3	15.5	-0.16	12.7	15.2	-2.50
Walt Williams	76	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	-6	-7	14.9	16.4	-1.46	13.8	11.9	1.99
Shawn Respert	48	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	-3	-13	16.3	14.5	1.76	12.9	13.6	-0.64
Damon Stoudamire	77	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	-3	-13	15.8	13.9	1.88	13.6	12.2	1.41
Oliver Miller	58	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	-6	-7	15.7	14.8	0.94	11.8	15.3	-3.51

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	68	70	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.09	16	3	13	13.1	13.8	-0.71	15.7	14.5	1.24
Hot Rod Williams	47	49	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	8	3	13.1	13.4	-0.32	14.8	15.8	-0.94
George McCloud	45	47	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	8	3	12.9	13.6	-0.71	14.0	16.4	-2.45
Steve Nash	44	46	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.11	14	5	9	13.4	13.2	0.24	16.7	14.2	2.51
Rex Chapman	66	70	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	13	-7	13.1	13.7	-0.66	14.4	17.3	-2.95
Cedric Ceballos	40	41	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	7	5	14.0	12.8	1.22	16.7	14.4	2.29
Danny Manning	53	55	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	18	-17	13.8	12.6	1.21	15.3	15.3	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	43	47	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.17	13	6	7	13.1	13.4	-0.33	16.7	14.2	2.56
Antonio McDyess	66	70	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	10	-1	12.9	14.1	-1.17	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Marko Milic	18	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	17	-15	14.6	13.0	1.57	14.0	15.6	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 105, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.95,1	95.5%
POR 96, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NYK 89, UTA 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.7%