NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	89		Excitement	5.1 [788]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +11.7%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	1.0 [1278]		LVP	Mardy Collins (NYK): -10.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Jeffries	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	83%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
David Lee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	10	70%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	11	66%	0.15	4	-0.11	13	69%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	22	49%	0.05	3	-0.08	9	78%	-0.01
Fred Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	8	41%	0.02	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	-0.00	0.01	9	79%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	59%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.02	13	63%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	67%	0.14	5	-0.08	7	57%	-0.04
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	57%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	11	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	17	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	25.9	15.7	28.3	1.8	32.8	129.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.7%

UTA +4.8%

NYK -1.8%

UTA +21.6%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	UTA	NBA	NYK	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	17.0	15.4	101.1	114.9	105.7
season	15.7	15.5		103.1	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.0	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.5	17.3	14.5	14.7	16.0
UTA	15.3	17.0	17.5	18.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	8	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-7	3	18.9	15.7	3.21	15.0	17.2	-2.16
Quentin Richardson	12	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	-3	-5	19.2	15.4	3.72	14.2	17.4	-3.25
David Lee	68	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-14	17	15.6	17.1	-1.55	16.9	17.1	-0.18
Nate Robinson	40	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-10	9	15.4	16.4	-0.93	18.2	16.0	2.26
Jared Jeffries	54	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-10	9	16.0	15.9	0.02	17.4	16.2	1.21
Fred Jones	27	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-4	-3	15.3	16.2	-0.90	17.6	16.7	0.87
Mardy Collins	48	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-1	-9	16.4	15.4	0.93	16.0	18.2	-2.26
Malik Rose	18	16	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	2	-15	16.4	15.8	0.55	18.3	16.7	1.65
Jamal Crawford	83	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-5	-1	15.7	20.4	-4.71	16.9	18.4	-1.52
Zach Randolph	82	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-3	-5	15.9	17.2	-1.30	16.9	17.6	-0.67

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	47	46	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	5	1	17.4	16.5	0.86	16.9	14.9	1.96
Mehmet Okur	63	65	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	-3	17	16.9	17.1	-0.22	15.6	17.1	-1.53
Matt Harpring	32	32	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	7	-3	18.0	16.4	1.64	15.9	16.0	-0.03
Ronnie Brewer	44	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	2	7	16.4	17.5	-1.13	16.0	16.0	0.00
Deron Williams	76	76	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	6	-1	16.9	17.1	-0.14	16.3	13.6	2.75
Ronnie Price	11	12	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	5	1	17.1	16.9	0.14	13.6	16.3	-2.75
Andrei Kirilenko	55	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	4	3	16.4	18.0	-1.64	16.0	15.9	0.03
Carlos Boozer	64	65	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	9	-7	16.7	17.6	-0.87	15.7	16.7	-1.00
Kyle Korver	36	36	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	10	-9	18.2	16.1	2.14	15.7	16.2	-0.49
CJ Miles	7	7	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	10	-9	14.0	17.2	-3.23	17.4	15.8	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 80, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
BOS 93, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
TOR 91, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%