NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	80		Excitement	5.4 [727]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (ORL): +7.7%
Orlando Magic	92		Comeback	1.0 [896]		LVP	John Amaechi (ORL): -16.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	56%	-0.01	1	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Aaron McKie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	3	37%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	9	40%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	11	46%	-0.01	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	0.01	19	45%	-0.09	2	-0.03	11	55%	-0.05
Matt Geiger	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	22	39%	-0.06	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	10	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	12	48%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ron Mercer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	-0.07	22	37%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.03	-0.06	16	38%	-0.01	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
John Amaechi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	14	28%	-0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.0	33.1	18.7	29.3	2.6	30.2	142.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +30.2%

ORL +1.3%

ORL +5.4%

ORL +11.3%

ORL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	15.2	86.0	98.9	101.7
season	15.0	13.6		99.5	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.5		99.3	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.8	13.1	17.7	14.6	15.2
ORL	14.2	14.1	15.0	20.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	9.0	15.4	-6.41	25.3	15.4	9.89
Aaron McKie	25	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-10	8	12.8	16.1	-3.34	18.5	14.8	3.63
Kevin Ollie	20	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-9	6	12.6	15.9	-3.25	19.4	14.8	4.63
Matt Geiger	39	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-7	2	14.4	15.8	-1.46	15.5	15.9	-0.37
George Lynch	43	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-1	-10	16.3	14.2	2.13	16.6	15.0	1.53
Tyrone Hill	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-7	2	15.4	14.5	0.94	15.8	15.7	0.06
Toni Kukoc	50	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-7	2	14.8	15.7	-0.96	15.2	16.3	-1.06
Theo Ratliff	66	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-3	-6	15.5	14.4	1.12	15.5	16.6	-1.14
Eric Snow	73	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-3	-6	15.9	12.6	3.25	14.8	19.4	-4.63
Allen Iverson	74	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	-1	-10	15.9	12.6	3.23	14.7	20.0	-5.25

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	58	59	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.03	17	-5	22	13.8	19.0	-5.19	16.3	13.2	3.10
Darrell Armstrong	73	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	4	4	15.2	17.7	-2.47	15.7	13.4	2.36
Bo Outlaw	65	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	-2	16	14.9	17.8	-2.94	15.7	14.1	1.60
Ron Mercer	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	1	10	15.5	16.5	-0.97	15.4	14.8	0.55
Michael Doleac	47	46	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	5	2	17.7	13.8	3.88	14.6	15.8	-1.18
John Amaechi	46	47	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	7	-2	13.8	17.7	-3.88	15.8	14.6	1.18
Chucky Atkins	32	33	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	12	-12	16.6	15.3	1.27	14.2	15.7	-1.49
Monty Williams	24	24	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.16	-1	13	-14	18.5	14.8	3.69	14.3	15.5	-1.23
Corey Maggette	18	19	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	8	-4	17.0	15.5	1.53	13.8	15.6	-1.78
Pat Garrity	35	34	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	17	-22	19.0	13.8	5.19	13.2	16.3	-3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 92, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ORL 89, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
BOS 90, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%