inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 89 Excitement4.0 [1049] MVPMarcus Morris (DET): +13.3%
Detroit Pistons 115 Comeback1.1 [970] LVPEvan Fournier (ORL): -11.5%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Victor Oladipo0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.090.02-0.001172%0.172-0.053100%0.01
Tobias Harris0.110,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.05-0.00769%0.131-0.022100%0.02
Andrew Nicholson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.010.021070%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.010.021553%0.0400.0000%0.00
Aaron Gordon0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01150%0.0200.002100%0.01
Jason Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.011343%0.0200.002100%0.01
Dewayne Dedmon0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Hezonja-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02350%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Channing Frye-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Shabazz Napier-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.021242%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Evan Fournier-0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.0260%-0.101-0.0200%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Morris0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.03-0.01768%0.1300.005100%0.02
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.120.000.05971%0.0800.00667%-0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.140.010.081281%0.102-0.042100%0.01
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.04-0.001254%0.082-0.042100%0.01
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.00-0.011050%0.0400.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.01387%0.042-0.02250%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.03862%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04837%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Reggie Bullock0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darrun Hilliard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.03-0.020.011453%0.031-0.03425%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.71.830.315.826.01.828.3125.7
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +31.5%
ORL -6.1%
DET +18.0%
DET +4.8%
DET +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDETNBAORLDETNBA
this game17.415.314.9102.3129.2105.1
season14.615.0103.6104.9
opponent15.114.9105.0105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL17.716.719.316.117.4
DET14.314.017.615.915.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dewayne Dedmon1617-0.01-0.490.470.25-9-17815.917.7-1.7915.415.30.01
Andrew Nicholson3940-0.12-0.380.26-0.09-1-252417.317.5-0.2614.416.1-1.72
Mario Hezonja2020-0.14-0.360.220.12-9-17818.517.11.4914.215.7-1.48
Channing Frye2525-0.19-0.310.120.10-10-16618.616.91.7416.414.91.46
Evan Fournier4748-0.23-0.270.040.33-19-7-1217.217.6-0.3716.014.61.46
Jason Smith3029-0.23-0.270.030.06-10-16616.717.8-1.1214.415.8-1.44
Nikola Vucevic4143-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.05-7-191218.516.42.1016.014.71.26
Aaron Gordon4648-0.29-0.21-0.080.21-17-9-816.618.3-1.6414.716.1-1.34
Shabazz Napier5051-0.32-0.18-0.140.27-20-6-1417.317.5-0.1514.716.2-1.55
Victor Oladipo6263-0.33-0.17-0.160.14-16-10-617.217.8-0.5615.514.90.60
Tobias Harris5961-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.03-12-14217.517.10.4416.213.42.85

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope63630.370.130.24-0.4528-23015.215.7-0.4317.816.21.59
Ersan Ilyasova51490.360.140.220.041115-415.814.80.9817.816.90.81
Stanley Johnson47470.320.180.14-0.352332014.016.8-2.7717.217.6-0.46
Andre Drummond52490.310.190.120.05917-816.413.92.5418.216.41.79
Marcus Morris54520.310.190.120.05917-816.214.12.0817.816.81.01
Brandon Jennings36370.300.200.10-0.432512413.616.5-2.9616.618.0-1.41
Reggie Jackson46440.200.30-0.100.05521-1616.514.22.2918.516.32.27
Aron Baynes30320.190.31-0.12-0.432151613.116.5-3.3916.817.7-0.93
Anthony Tolliver38380.140.36-0.22-0.301511414.815.8-0.9816.917.8-0.81
Steve Blake760.000.50-0.500.12-430-3417.115.21.9514.217.6-3.48
Reggie Bullock760.000.50-0.500.12-430-3417.115.21.9514.217.6-3.48
Darrun Hilliard760.000.50-0.500.12-430-3417.115.21.9514.217.6-3.48
Joel Anthony760.000.50-0.500.12-430-3417.115.21.9514.217.6-3.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 80, ORL 920.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,195.3%
BOS 90, SAS 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,195.0%
DEN 114, GSW 1240.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,194.4%