inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 92 Excitement4.9 [677] MVPArron Afflalo (DEN): +17.6%
Denver Nuggets 109 Comeback1.1 [895] LVPRonnie Price (PHX): -16.4%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0.160,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.050.05-0.051561%0.223-0.063100%0.01
Channing Frye0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.020.03487%0.0500.0000%0.00
Markieff Morris0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.09-0.020.061658%0.0100.00475%-0.00
Sebastian Telfair-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03837%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Hakim Warrick-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.0200%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Josh Childress-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03617%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Robin Lopez-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.03712%-0.061-0.022100%0.00
Jared Dudley-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.03-0.04837%-0.044-0.0500%0.00
Marcin Gortat-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.030.011336%-0.072-0.052100%0.01
Shannon Brown-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.08-0.060.011133%-0.112-0.042100%0.00
Ronnie Price-0.160,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.14-0.04-0.021136%-0.045-0.13683%-0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.130.03-0.021169%0.181-0.00757%-0.02
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.050.01785%0.194-0.09683%0.00
Rudy Fernandez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.00-0.01865%0.0900.001100%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.01967%0.091-0.01667%-0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.04-0.00-0.05954%0.034-0.02683%-0.00
Jordan Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.0720%0.0020.0000%0.00
Julyan Stone0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.021041%-0.001-0.03250%-0.01
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.001246%0.022-0.062100%0.01
Corey Brewer0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.01845%-0.031-0.01475%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.12-0.02-0.06250%0.006-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.325.615.626.81.630.3127.7
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +55.6%
DEN +9.2%
PHX -22.6%
DEN +4.4%
DEN +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXDENNBAPHXDENNBA
this game14.612.615.686.8102.8102.8
season15.014.5104.7107.5
opponent15.815.7104.5104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHX14.215.516.012.714.6
DEN11.514.511.713.012.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robin Lopez29280.00-0.500.50-0.124-212513.714.9-1.2412.912.50.38
Hakim Warrick99-0.06-0.440.380.12-6-11515.714.51.2110.712.8-2.13
Channing Frye4040-0.07-0.430.360.11-6-11512.915.6-2.6614.211.72.55
Michael Redd6162-0.13-0.370.240.14-9-8-113.715.8-2.1213.511.42.10
Jared Dudley6061-0.21-0.290.070.14-12-5-714.414.7-0.2513.012.00.99
Josh Childress4039-0.22-0.280.05-0.11-4-13915.414.01.3511.713.1-1.38
Sebastian Telfair3635-0.23-0.270.030.12-12-5-716.713.43.2811.313.3-2.02
Ronnie Price7474-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.09-6-11513.616.8-3.2813.111.51.59
Markieff Morris6061-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.16-8-9115.613.22.3312.213.2-1.06
Shannon Brown5150-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.17-9-8-115.114.11.0411.713.4-1.73
Marcin Gortat7071-0.47-0.03-0.450.02-170-1714.814.10.7212.413.0-0.62

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Harrington52520.57-0.070.64-0.1324-73111.513.7-2.2616.213.03.17
Chris Andersen49480.430.070.35-0.071701711.613.5-1.8616.113.32.79
Andre Miller49480.430.070.35-0.071701711.613.5-1.8616.113.32.79
Arron Afflalo66650.400.100.31-0.071611512.512.7-0.1814.714.40.31
Ty Lawson57580.310.190.12-0.01116512.912.30.6114.814.30.52
Rudy Fernandez46450.200.30-0.10-0.15125712.113.0-0.8515.014.20.77
Corey Brewer73730.160.34-0.180.07314-1113.311.02.3014.015.8-1.83
Kosta Koufos57580.070.43-0.350.07017-1713.511.61.8613.316.1-2.79
Jordan Hamilton14150.000.50-0.500.15-522-2713.212.50.6912.514.9-2.36
Julyan Stone13140.000.50-0.500.09-320-2312.512.6-0.0911.515.0-3.52
Kenneth Faried5454-0.070.57-0.640.14-724-3113.711.52.2613.016.2-3.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 80, ORL 920.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,195.5%
BOS 83, CLE 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.9%
LAC 91, SAS 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%