NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Excitement	8.8 [116]		MVP	Brian Cardinal (GSW): +13.3%
Golden State Warriors	97		Comeback	3.0 [638]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -25.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oliver Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Mark Madsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.05	-0.01	12	54%	0.10	7	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0,0,-0.02,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	9	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Gary Trent	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	17	50%	0.03	3	-0.11	6	67%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	27	43%	-0.08	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	10	66%	0.17	1	-0.04	12	83%	0.07
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	8	68%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.01	15	57%	0.08	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.02
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	18	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	10	70%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	6	33%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.11	-0.14	0.00	17	42%	-0.17	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	30.5	16.3	25.4	3.5	37.9	139.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +1.7%

GSW +14.2%

GSW +19.5%

GSW +7.9%

GSW +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	13.9	16.4	15.7	94.7	102.1	100.5
season	15.6	16.1		103.2	100.8
opponent	15.3	16.1		101.6	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.1	13.8	13.4	13.4	13.9
GSW	15.5	16.2	18.5	15.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	61	62	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-14	21	14.0	13.7	0.31	17.2	14.9	2.25
Oliver Miller	40	37	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.08	7	-14	21	12.5	14.9	-2.47	17.3	15.8	1.45
Ervin Johnson	34	35	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-11	15	14.6	13.5	1.11	16.4	16.4	-0.02
Troy Hudson	22	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-6	5	13.8	13.9	-0.11	15.3	16.7	-1.38
Gary Trent	23	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-5	3	13.3	14.1	-0.85	15.0	16.9	-1.94
Kevin Garnett	84	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	0	-7	13.8	15.0	-1.24	16.5	15.9	0.57
Latrell Sprewell	86	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-4	1	13.8	14.6	-0.72	16.3	18.1	-1.87
Fred Hoiberg	46	42	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.12	-14	7	-21	13.7	14.1	-0.49	16.5	16.3	0.16
Trenton Hassell	61	62	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.27	-11	4	-15	14.3	13.1	1.18	16.1	17.0	-0.86
Mark Madsen	18	19	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.18	-15	8	-23	16.5	13.3	3.20	16.4	16.4	-0.05

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	56	55	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	-2	11	16.1	16.8	-0.74	14.1	13.6	0.53
Mike Dunleavy	78	81	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	1	5	16.5	16.2	0.29	13.5	16.4	-2.96
Jason Richardson	84	84	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	1	5	16.1	19.0	-2.93	13.8	14.5	-0.72
Speedy Claxton	77	77	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	3	1	16.4	16.5	-0.11	13.8	14.6	-0.80
Clifford Robinson	50	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.17	7	0	7	16.4	16.4	0.06	14.2	13.6	0.63
Avery Johnson	14	14	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	0	7	16.6	16.4	0.19	15.9	13.6	2.29
Erick Dampier	83	82	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	10	-13	16.7	14.1	2.66	13.7	14.9	-1.18
Calbert Cheaney	33	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	16.8	16.2	0.53	14.3	13.7	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.84,0.9,1	93.9%
WAS 99, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.48,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.55,0.85,0.91,1	91.8%
UTA 87, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.84,0.69,0.85,1	91.5%