NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	87		Excitement	8.1 [223]		MVP	Larry Hughes (WAS): +28.5%
Washington Wizards	91		Comeback	3.7 [539]		LVP	Greg Ostertag (UTA): -28.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.18,0.18,0.07	0.00	0.07	-0.00	12	61%	0.14	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Handlogten	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.08	0.00	9	68%	0.12	1	-0.15	4	75%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	14	52%	0.07	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Raul Lopez	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	12	54%	0.02	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.29,-0.29	-0.06	-0.23	0.01	3	50%	-0.19	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.16	0.00	21	66%	0.31	1	-0.03	16	87%	0.08
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	11	48%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.08	0.00	8	67%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	8	37%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	1	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	9	33%	-0.06	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.4	27.0	14.8	25.5	1.6	35.2	129.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -10.8%

WAS +26.5%

UTA -5.8%

WAS +28.9%

WAS +11.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	WAS	NBA	UTA	WAS	NBA
this game	17.0	16.1	15.7	100.0	104.6	100.5
season	17.2	15.2		99.4	96.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		102.4	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.5	15.7	16.9	18.9	17.0
WAS	15.5	16.3	15.2	17.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Handlogten	21	22	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-5	6	16.9	17.0	-0.06	16.5	16.0	0.47
Raul Lopez	29	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-3	2	16.8	17.1	-0.29	17.2	15.6	1.60
Greg Ostertag	40	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-10	16	16.3	17.5	-1.21	16.2	16.1	0.05
Raja Bell	59	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-7	10	16.7	17.5	-0.75	15.7	17.1	-1.36
Andrei Kirilenko	69	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.49	9	-13	22	16.9	17.3	-0.41	16.8	13.5	3.34
Sasha Pavlovic	12	11	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	7	-18	17.6	16.9	0.73	13.5	16.5	-3.08
Jarron Collins	47	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	6	-16	17.5	16.3	1.21	16.1	16.2	-0.05
DeShawn Stevenson	28	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	3	-10	17.5	16.7	0.75	17.1	15.7	1.36
Carlos Arroyo	58	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	17.1	16.8	0.29	15.6	17.2	-1.60
Matt Harpring	72	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.34	-7	3	-10	16.9	17.0	-0.06	15.8	17.9	-2.07

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	41	43	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.45	8	-4	12	16.0	16.3	-0.28	17.0	16.9	0.09
Kwame Brown	32	32	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-9	22	16.2	16.1	0.06	18.0	16.3	1.65
Larry Hughes	75	75	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.40	4	0	4	16.3	15.4	0.85	16.9	17.6	-0.73
Jared Jeffries	69	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	6	-8	16.4	15.1	1.31	16.9	17.3	-0.46
Brendan Haywood	23	22	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	-2	8	16.5	16.0	0.51	18.7	16.4	2.31
Christian Laettner	16	16	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	2	0	15.6	16.3	-0.72	15.5	17.3	-1.78
Etan Thomas	48	49	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.18	-4	8	-12	16.2	16.1	0.04	16.7	17.3	-0.69
Jarvis Hayes	56	58	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	5	-6	15.5	17.3	-1.77	16.8	17.2	-0.38
Juan Dixon	29	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	6	-8	16.4	16.0	0.34	16.5	17.2	-0.62
Steve Blake	46	44	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.06	-4	8	-12	16.3	16.0	0.28	16.9	17.0	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.84,0.69,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, GSW 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.92,1	91.5%
SAS 111, DAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.8,0.93,0.9,0.9,1	91.4%
NOH 67, DEN 76	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.44,0.38,0.28,0.41,0.66,0.6,0.8,0.78,0.95,1,1	91.1%