NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	91		Excitement	6.7 [458]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): +12.0%
Golden State Warriors	98		Comeback	1.3 [986]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -24.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Tony Massenburg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	6	58%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.09,-0.1	0.08	-0.14	0.04	20	58%	-0.10	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.13
Bobby Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	11	39%	-0.07	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	18	44%	-0.06	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.18	-0.07	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	-0.00	0.01	9	82%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	9	62%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	19	56%	0.00	6	-0.10	7	86%	0.03
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	12	47%	-0.03	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.00	0.02	12	25%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.6	26.9	16.5	28.3	1.0	33.6	129.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +14.6%

GSW +12.7%

GSW +5.9%

GSW +14.5%

GSW +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.9	16.0	15.7	97.8	105.4	100.5
season	14.7	16.1		106.9	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.6		101.6	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.9	16.9	14.1	13.8	14.9
GSW	15.1	13.8	15.9	19.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	10	10	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-12	17	16.5	14.7	1.77	16.3	16.0	0.29
Darius Songaila	18	18	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.12	7	-14	21	14.1	15.1	-1.08	17.4	15.7	1.74
Anthony Peeler	28	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-11	15	15.2	14.8	0.47	16.7	15.8	0.96
Tony Massenburg	28	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-3	-1	12.7	15.9	-3.16	16.0	16.1	-0.11
Vlade Divac	48	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-11	15	15.3	14.5	0.80	16.3	15.8	0.56
Bobby Jackson	45	46	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-1	-5	15.0	14.9	0.10	15.9	16.2	-0.34
Mike Bibby	62	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	4	-15	15.0	14.7	0.27	15.7	16.7	-1.02
Brad Miller	72	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	4	-15	15.6	12.8	2.79	15.7	17.1	-1.42
Doug Christie	69	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.19	-12	5	-17	14.7	15.6	-0.94	16.0	16.0	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	85	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	4	-15	14.9	15.2	-0.36	16.0	16.7	-0.69

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	84	85	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	-1	9	15.9	17.1	-1.18	14.9	14.9	0.05
Nick Van Exel	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	0	7	15.6	16.9	-1.32	15.4	14.0	1.36
Troy Murphy	54	53	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	-2	11	15.5	16.8	-1.29	14.8	15.0	-0.22
Mike Dunleavy	60	58	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	2	3	15.0	17.9	-2.94	15.8	13.4	2.44
Clifford Robinson	67	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	4	-1	15.7	17.0	-1.38	15.4	13.5	1.98
Erick Dampier	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	6	-5	16.5	15.5	0.95	15.1	14.7	0.44
Calbert Cheaney	42	43	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	6	-5	17.8	14.6	3.13	13.7	16.0	-2.33
Speedy Claxton	33	33	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	4	-1	16.5	15.8	0.73	13.8	15.5	-1.67
Brian Cardinal	11	10	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	9	-11	20.2	15.5	4.69	11.6	15.3	-3.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.86,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 72, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
DEN 86, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.85,1,1	93.4%
DAL 81, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%