inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 86 Excitement6.1 [348] MVPBryon Russell (UTA): +22.3%
Utah Jazz 97 Comeback1.3 [760] LVPKarl Malone (UTA): -21.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keon Clark0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00280%0.0400.0010%-0.02
Bryant Stith-0.030,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.05-0.00858%-0.011-0.023100%0.02
Cory Alexander-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00437%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Eric Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01350%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Antonio McDyess-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.011145%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01636%-0.031-0.032100%0.01
Danny Fortson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.040.01862%0.012-0.07862%-0.04
Eric Washington-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.00625%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Nick Van Exel-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.011945%0.013-0.09475%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.130,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.020.05946%-0.101-0.03850%-0.08

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.220.220.130.110.011078%0.2200.00786%0.10
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.040.00683%0.1200.0000%0.00
Jeff Hornacek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.060.101170%0.061-0.025100%-0.02
Greg Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.001100%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Todd Fuller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.01850%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00554%0.012-0.05367%-0.00
John Stockton0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.040.010.01947%-0.012-0.041100%0.01
Greg Ostertag0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00837%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Adam Keefe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.14-0.01-0.02312%-0.064-0.07250%-0.01
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.17-0.040.001339%-0.124-0.101080%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.71.825.414.828.01.634.2136.4
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +23.6%
UTA +12.0%
UTA +15.2%
DEN -4.8%
UTA +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENUTANBADENUTANBA
this game16.415.915.896.6109.099.6
season15.516.4100.7102.6
opponent16.015.696.1107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.616.419.915.216.4
UTA15.414.216.118.215.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Williams34340.03-0.530.55-0.156-172316.616.30.2115.915.9-0.03
Danny Fortson5355-0.11-0.390.28-0.265-162115.717.4-1.7116.115.70.37
Keon Clark2726-0.13-0.370.23-0.02-4-7317.316.01.3017.515.32.16
Cory Alexander2423-0.15-0.350.21-0.03-4-7319.415.34.0418.215.23.02
Eric Washington4243-0.20-0.300.09-0.15-2-9716.216.6-0.4017.314.62.74
Antonio McDyess3130-0.28-0.22-0.070.07-121-1316.416.5-0.1115.116.4-1.31
Chauncey Billups4746-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.03-9-2-716.616.20.4014.617.3-2.74
Nick Van Exel6969-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.16-8-3-515.818.5-2.7415.218.3-3.05
Raef LaFrentz6767-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.15-110-1116.615.80.8715.616.9-1.30
Bryant Stith5152-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.02-165-2115.817.3-1.5115.916.0-0.16

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryon Russell70710.50-0.000.510.0914-31716.115.40.6516.715.21.58
Karl Malone67670.410.090.310.081101116.314.71.6016.117.4-1.24
Jeff Hornacek56570.320.180.140.0592716.215.50.6616.017.2-1.19
Greg Ostertag47470.320.180.13-0.011101114.817.2-2.4716.316.6-0.27
John Stockton53500.310.190.130.1174315.816.1-0.3015.817.2-1.34
Howard Eisley36390.190.31-0.130.0747-316.115.80.3017.215.81.34
Shandon Anderson33320.180.32-0.140.1229-715.516.2-0.6617.216.01.19
Greg Foster18170.140.36-0.220.0538-517.715.52.2415.116.7-1.69
Adam Keefe28270.090.41-0.320.18-314-1715.516.1-0.6816.716.30.34
Todd Fuller37380.040.46-0.410.13-314-1715.915.9-0.0217.016.00.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.85,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 98, CHH 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,194.8%
LAC 72, BOS 830.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,194.8%
ORL 76, DAL 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%