NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	78		Excitement	4.0 [1005]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +8.3%
New Jersey Nets	95		Comeback	1.1 [1042]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): -11.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	11	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Corie Blount	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Linton Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	78%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	14	57%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Jefferies	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	11	46%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.00	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.21	-0.00	-0.09	14	17%	-0.08	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	14	60%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	70%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.02	14	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	19	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.04	7	71%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	24.6	14.6	24.5	1.6	27.7	117.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +36.4%

CHI -2.6%

NJN +0.2%

NJN +12.9%

NJN +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.3	15.7	83.9	102.2	100.5
season	15.2	15.3		94.6	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.4		95.2	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.3	16.3	16.1	14.8	15.6
NJN	16.0	16.4	14.5	14.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Jefferies	52	52	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	14.7	16.9	-2.25	14.8	16.0	-1.12
Corie Blount	46	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-17	17	15.3	16.0	-0.63	15.7	15.0	0.71
Rick Brunson	24	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-9	1	13.7	16.3	-2.67	12.5	16.4	-3.89
Jamal Crawford	73	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-13	9	15.5	16.3	-0.83	15.6	14.4	1.11
Linton Johnson	31	32	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-14	11	14.0	16.5	-2.52	15.7	15.1	0.65
Antonio Davis	54	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-8	-1	16.5	14.5	2.04	15.3	15.4	-0.14
Kendall Gill	34	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	1	-19	16.6	15.1	1.49	15.9	15.0	0.93
Kirk Hinrich	77	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	1	-19	16.5	11.6	4.93	15.7	13.7	1.98
Jerome Williams	74	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	0.21	-29	12	-41	16.1	13.8	2.33	15.4	15.1	0.33

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	61	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.18	23	-6	29	15.9	14.2	1.78	17.1	12.7	4.40
Jason Kidd	67	67	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.12	20	-3	23	15.2	15.7	-0.57	16.7	13.0	3.62
Kerry Kittles	52	53	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	5	7	15.5	15.1	0.40	16.5	14.5	1.97
Richard Jefferson	72	73	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.08	17	0	17	15.5	14.7	0.79	16.6	12.0	4.64
Kenyon Martin	63	64	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	6	5	15.4	15.2	0.23	15.9	15.1	0.79
Rodney Rogers	43	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	9	-1	16.2	14.6	1.56	16.1	15.3	0.79
Lucious Harris	44	44	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	13	-9	15.4	15.2	0.16	14.6	16.6	-1.91
Robert Pack	23	22	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	19	-21	15.2	15.4	-0.14	12.5	16.6	-4.06
Tamar Slay	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	13.6	15.6	-2.06	10.7	16.4	-5.76
Brian Scalabrine	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	13.6	15.6	-2.06	10.7	16.4	-5.76
Mikki Moore	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	11.8	15.8	-4.01	9.4	16.5	-7.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, GSW 120	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
BOS 92, POR 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
LAL 104, MIN 119	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.75,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%