NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	104		Excitement	5.2 [790]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): +13.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	119		Comeback	1.4 [1156]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): -14.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tarik Black	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.00	0.03	8	88%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	55%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Thomas Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.04	13	64%	0.08	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	48%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	14	44%	-0.05	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.02	20	54%	0.13	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.00	-0.02	22	59%	0.20	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	-0.00	0.04	20	72%	0.19	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	52%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	25.4	15.4	35.4	1.6	32.4	136.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +17.1%

MIN +1.0%

MIN +10.1%

MIN +12.1%

MIN +9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.5	16.8	14.8	109.5	125.3	107.7
season	14.5	15.3		104.8	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.4		110.2	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.3	15.0	13.2	12.4	13.5
MIN	16.1	15.6	15.6	20.3	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivica Zubac	5	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	-10	5	15.2	13.4	1.80	15.7	16.9	-1.12
Tyler Ennis	38	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-15	15	13.6	13.4	0.18	16.4	17.1	-0.62
Thomas Robinson	27	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-12	9	12.5	13.9	-1.36	20.3	15.5	4.75
David Nwaba	58	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-14	13	13.1	14.1	-0.96	17.3	16.0	1.25
Tarik Black	46	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-14	13	13.5	13.5	-0.03	15.6	18.0	-2.38
Julius Randle	58	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-7	-1	13.0	14.3	-1.36	16.8	16.9	-0.12
Corey Brewer	37	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-1	-13	14.1	13.1	0.96	16.0	17.3	-1.25
D'Angelo Russell	75	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-3	-9	13.3	14.3	-1.08	16.3	18.8	-2.46
Larry Nance Jr.	54	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.06	-13	-2	-11	14.4	12.3	2.11	16.3	17.5	-1.13
Jordan Clarkson	77	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.04	-18	3	-21	13.7	12.8	0.88	17.5	14.1	3.39

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	83	83	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.04	22	-7	29	17.0	15.8	1.13	13.2	15.5	-2.30
Andrew Wiggins	79	79	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.06	22	-7	29	16.8	17.0	-0.22	13.1	15.2	-2.11
Ricky Rubio	76	75	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.01	20	-5	25	16.9	16.3	0.63	13.3	14.1	-0.83
Karl-Anthony Towns	82	80	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.03	17	-2	19	16.9	16.1	0.86	13.8	12.1	1.70
Brandon Rush	40	40	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	4	7	16.2	17.3	-1.07	13.7	13.4	0.31
Kris Dunn	58	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	10	-5	17.5	15.8	1.65	13.3	13.8	-0.55
Tyus Jones	13	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	20	-25	15.6	17.0	-1.40	14.8	13.3	1.48
Shabazz Muhammad	19	19	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.12	-8	23	-31	16.6	16.9	-0.24	15.1	13.1	1.95
Omri Casspi	25	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.13	-9	24	-33	16.0	17.1	-1.17	13.6	13.5	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.75,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 89, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CHI 78, NJN 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
SAS 103, GSW 120	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%