NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	4.7 [850]		MVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): +10.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	105		Comeback	1.0 [1192]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): -13.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.01	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	57%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dana Barros	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	14	44%	-0.01	5	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	-0.02	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	24	48%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	7	45%	-0.04	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.02	0.04	8	90%	0.11	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	10	67%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	-0.08	8	31%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	55%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	3	30%	-0.02	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.0	33.1	14.7	30.1	0.8	38.0	145.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +52.5%

BOS -0.7%

BOS -13.6%

POR +13.2%

BOS -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	POR	NBA	BOS	POR	NBA
this game	13.7	14.1	15.2	90.2	100.0	101.7
season	14.7	15.9		102.4	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.1		99.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.9	11.6	18.4	13.0	13.7
POR	16.4	13.7	14.4	12.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	50	54	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.21	9	-22	31	13.5	13.9	-0.40	15.7	12.4	3.31
Tony Battie	41	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.25	8	-21	29	10.2	16.1	-5.90	12.7	15.1	-2.42
Dana Barros	28	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.10	-6	-7	1	13.5	13.8	-0.26	14.3	14.0	0.32
Eric Williams	64	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-11	9	13.3	14.4	-1.02	14.0	14.3	-0.35
Adrian Griffin	50	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-4	-5	14.9	12.6	2.38	14.9	13.3	1.57
Kenny Anderson	76	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-6	-1	13.6	14.2	-0.63	14.1	14.0	0.13
Paul Pierce	90	93	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	2	-17	13.3	16.7	-3.43	13.7	16.8	-3.09
Antoine Walker	70	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.02	-16	3	-19	15.2	10.6	4.56	14.3	13.7	0.61
Vitaly Potapenko	41	41	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.24	-27	14	-41	15.5	12.5	2.95	12.9	14.9	-1.96

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	72	71	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.12	26	-13	39	13.8	14.7	-0.83	15.5	9.7	5.82
Rasheed Wallace	77	73	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.19	26	-13	39	14.6	12.8	1.74	14.7	11.2	3.52
Arvydas Sabonis	49	48	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.20	24	-11	35	14.6	13.6	1.01	15.8	11.9	3.98
Damon Stoudamire	57	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	5	3	14.8	13.2	1.63	13.6	13.9	-0.34
Steven Smith	58	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	6	1	15.1	12.8	2.33	14.4	12.9	1.44
Bonzi Wells	47	46	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	7	-1	12.8	15.1	-2.33	12.9	14.4	-1.44
Greg Anthony	50	48	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	8	-3	13.4	14.7	-1.25	13.5	13.9	-0.35
Joe Kleine	8	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	8.1	14.6	-6.46	8.8	14.2	-5.43
Brian Grant	24	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	18	-23	15.3	13.7	1.55	15.0	13.4	1.59
Detlef Schrempf	35	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.25	-11	24	-35	13.9	14.2	-0.27	9.7	15.7	-5.96
Jermaine O'Neal	48	47	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.34	-16	29	-45	13.5	14.6	-1.06	10.9	16.1	-5.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 78, NJN 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
MIL 87, MIA 110	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.65,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
ATL 89, MIA 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%