inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 87 Excitement4.2 [1007] MVPChris Bosh (MIA): +14.2%
Miami Heat 110 Comeback1.0 [1293] LVPErsan Ilyasova (MIL): -8.6%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0.060,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.000.03-0.031950%0.082-0.03617%-0.06
Ekpe Udoh0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.000.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Gustavo Ayon0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Jennings-0.000,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.05-0.030.022055%0.083-0.08786%0.02
John Henson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.02743%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.010.04462%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.02333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01460%0.022-0.072100%0.01
Larry Sanders-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03737%-0.002-0.0420%-0.02
JJ Redick-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.020.000.03640%-0.041-0.013100%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.02714%-0.071-0.0100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.130.020.01794%0.161-0.022100%0.01
LeBron James0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.140.010.041182%0.215-0.091173%-0.01
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.010.021362%0.073-0.046100%0.02
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.02-0.041250%0.053-0.02875%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.08-0.000.05491%0.051-0.03367%-0.01
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02560%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.01478%0.063-0.081100%0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01333%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01828%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.83.532.018.027.02.830.2139.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +38.0%
MIA +14.2%
MIA +3.4%
MIL -7.6%
MIA +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game15.715.415.494.6118.3104.1
season14.715.7101.6110.2
opponent15.915.3102.4103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.916.816.313.915.7
MIA14.812.018.916.715.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gustavo Ayon880.00-0.500.500.000-232312.716.0-3.2516.715.31.46
Ish Smith880.00-0.500.500.000-232312.716.0-3.2516.715.31.46
Marquis Daniels2121-0.06-0.440.390.03-3-201716.515.51.0415.715.30.32
Ekpe Udoh3940-0.08-0.420.35-0.142-252714.916.3-1.3316.015.00.97
JJ Redick3030-0.10-0.400.290.10-7-16914.816.2-1.4116.315.01.35
Mike Dunleavy3231-0.15-0.350.190.20-12-11-116.015.50.4815.815.20.63
Brandon Jennings6566-0.19-0.310.130.08-9-14515.316.6-1.2915.315.8-0.51
John Henson3638-0.20-0.300.100.06-9-14515.715.70.0516.814.52.36
Ersan Ilyasova5655-0.30-0.20-0.100.11-14-9-515.715.7-0.0514.516.8-2.36
Larry Sanders3636-0.38-0.12-0.260.27-22-1-2117.914.33.5213.916.4-2.54
Luc Mbah a Moute5657-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.00-15-8-715.815.50.3115.215.8-0.58
Monta Ellis7375-0.600.10-0.710.16-263-2916.014.71.3015.316.0-0.72

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade62620.59-0.090.67-0.1826-32914.617.1-2.4717.013.23.78
Chris Bosh55550.370.130.25-0.04149514.616.6-2.0515.416.2-0.79
LeBron James66670.370.130.24-0.04149515.315.7-0.4015.715.60.11
Mario Chalmers46460.310.190.13-0.15167914.216.6-2.3815.316.1-0.74
Udonis Haslem32320.270.230.04-0.021013-316.015.10.8416.715.21.44
Norris Cole55530.190.31-0.13-0.111013-316.613.72.9315.615.9-0.31
Chris Andersen29290.170.33-0.16-0.06815-716.614.91.6516.615.31.22
Ray Allen57560.160.34-0.170.02518-1315.814.81.0014.917.1-2.20
Shane Battier47450.060.44-0.370.03122-2116.114.71.3915.516.0-0.49
Rashard Lewis870.000.50-0.50-0.09320-1716.715.31.4612.316.0-3.71
James Jones440.000.50-0.50-0.12419-1512.715.5-2.7914.715.8-1.01
Joel Anthony440.000.50-0.50-0.12419-1512.715.5-2.7914.715.8-1.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.65,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 86, GSW 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
BOS 92, POR 1050.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
ORL 88, SAC 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.0%