NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	86		Excitement	4.6 [931]		MVP	Reggie Williams (GSW): +20.8%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	1.1 [1037]		LVP	Earl Barron (POR): -13.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.01	0.06	16	61%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.04	9	82%	0.09	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	8	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	8	33%	-0.06	2	-0.01	8	75%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.04	-0.09	17	31%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Armon Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	12	44%	0.01	5	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00
Earl Barron	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.03	-0.05	10	23%	-0.07	3	-0.06	2	50%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.20	0.03	0.02	18	78%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.00	11	75%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	21	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.01	0.08	8	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	29.5	15.6	23.6	1.8	27.4	125.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +46.0%

POR -8.4%

POR -4.9%

GSW +16.1%

GSW +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	16.1	13.9	15.5	89.6	114.6	105.7
season	16.5	14.8		106.7	106.6
opponent	15.2	15.7		109.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.7	15.8	16.4	15.3	16.1
GSW	14.0	14.8	10.3	17.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	58	57	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.15	-7	-17	10	15.1	17.5	-2.38	14.5	13.1	1.36
Luke Babbitt	66	68	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	-19	14	15.2	17.9	-2.67	14.5	12.5	2.08
Andre Miller	13	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-13	2	18.9	15.6	3.31	13.8	14.0	-0.19
Armon Johnson	71	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.15	-15	-9	-6	15.2	18.5	-3.32	14.0	13.8	0.13
Wesley Matthews	50	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-12	0	16.5	15.6	0.95	12.0	16.1	-4.05
Chris Johnson	79	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.19	-20	-4	-16	16.0	16.2	-0.21	14.3	12.2	2.03
Rudy Fernandez	68	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-9	-6	17.8	11.7	6.09	13.9	13.9	0.01
Earl Barron	75	74	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	0.33	-35	11	-46	16.0	16.4	-0.41	13.9	14.1	-0.20

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Williams	96	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.20	24	0	24	13.9	0.0	13.94	16.1	0.0	16.06
David Lee	83	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	6	12	13.4	17.3	-3.90	16.4	14.5	1.89
Stephen Curry	48	48	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	8	8	12.4	15.5	-3.04	18.0	14.1	3.87
Dorell Wright	73	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.21	20	4	16	13.7	14.8	-1.17	16.2	15.8	0.36
Ekpe Udoh	58	58	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	8	8	13.2	15.1	-1.89	16.5	15.4	1.11
Al Thornton	23	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	20	-16	14.8	13.7	1.17	15.8	16.2	-0.36
Lou Amundson	23	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	20	-16	14.8	13.7	1.17	15.8	16.2	-0.36
Jeremy Lin	48	48	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.20	8	16	-8	15.5	12.4	3.04	14.1	18.0	-3.87
Jeff Adrien	20	20	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.24	9	15	-6	17.0	13.1	3.93	13.9	16.6	-2.67
Vladimir Radmanovic	8	9	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	23	-22	14.5	13.9	0.61	16.0	16.1	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 87, MIA 110	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.65,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
NJN 84, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
ORL 78, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%