inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 89 Excitement4.2 [977] MVPJames Posey (MIA): +24.4%
Miami Heat 106 Comeback1.1 [1231] LVPAnthony Johnson (ATL): -6.0%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Salim Stoudamire0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.120.000.031479%0.143-0.0500%0.00
Solomon Jones0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.001100%0.0500.001100%0.01
Marvin Williams0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.031158%0.072-0.032100%0.01
Lorenzen Wright0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Esteban Batista0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.000.03580%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Royal Ivey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Josh Smith-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.010.031553%0.001-0.01887%0.02
Shelden Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tyronn Lue-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.01450%0.023-0.0600%0.00
Josh Childress-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00943%0.012-0.06333%-0.02
Anthony Johnson-0.060,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.02-0.051035%-0.033-0.0300%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.150.100.01986%0.261-0.024100%0.03
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.020.01958%0.131-0.032060%-0.05
Jason Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.001158%0.081-0.022100%0.01
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.011159%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01550%0.031-0.022100%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01358%0.022-0.01683%0.01
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00943%0.0000.00333%-0.01
Earl Barron0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01845%0.011-0.02475%0.01
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00362%0.013-0.05250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.23.429.115.830.32.531.2139.5
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +16.3%
MIA +19.3%
MIA +12.3%
MIA +3.5%
ATL -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game15.617.115.4101.1120.5104.5
season16.116.0101.1102.4
opponent15.615.3104.3106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.715.915.814.215.6
MIA14.615.420.218.517.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Royal Ivey550.00-0.500.500.000-171711.215.9-4.7216.617.1-0.51
Shelden Williams2826-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-171716.715.11.5617.816.81.09
Solomon Jones1819-0.07-0.430.350.01-3-141113.716.2-2.4917.616.90.64
Esteban Batista3937-0.12-0.380.25-0.06-2-151315.116.1-0.9816.817.3-0.51
Tyronn Lue4041-0.14-0.360.23-0.11-1-161515.615.7-0.0918.615.72.91
Salim Stoudamire5250-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-4-13914.517.4-2.9017.816.21.62
Lorenzen Wright1113-0.27-0.23-0.040.11-13-4-917.115.41.6515.417.4-1.99
Josh Childress6063-0.36-0.14-0.220.05-14-3-1116.513.92.5717.715.52.18
Anthony Johnson4342-0.36-0.14-0.230.10-16-1-1516.215.11.1015.618.4-2.79
Marvin Williams6463-0.45-0.05-0.400.02-16-1-1515.815.10.7215.920.0-4.14
Josh Smith8081-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.00-16-1-1515.814.21.5417.116.60.55

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal55540.480.020.47-0.2224-73117.017.2-0.2116.913.73.21
James Posey58590.480.020.450.041521317.017.2-0.1816.214.61.58
Eddie Jones69690.460.040.42-0.0718-11916.519.1-2.5216.313.33.04
Jason Williams65650.450.050.400.041431116.817.9-1.1316.114.31.76
Udonis Haslem49490.440.060.390.031431116.517.8-1.2415.915.30.61
Dorell Wright38380.200.30-0.110.05512-718.416.12.3613.517.3-3.83
Antoine Walker40400.080.42-0.34-0.01314-1117.316.90.5015.415.9-0.45
Gary Payton25250.010.49-0.48-0.02116-1517.017.1-0.1115.315.8-0.51
Earl Barron550.000.50-0.500.00017-1716.617.1-0.5111.215.9-4.72
Chris Quinn550.000.50-0.500.00017-1716.617.1-0.5111.215.9-4.72
Alonzo Mourning2728-0.020.52-0.550.18-724-3119.016.22.7713.516.7-3.20
Michael Doleac43-0.070.57-0.65-0.02-219-2113.217.3-4.0122.715.47.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 129, NOP 1490.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
IND 82, DAL 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
IND 83, MIA 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%