NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	99		Excitement	8.5 [160]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +75.3%
Orlando Magic	95		Comeback	4.4 [138]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -30.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.75	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.75,0.75	0.21	0.55	0.01	12	92%	0.75	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	80%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	18	45%	0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Lucious Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.07	0.08	-0.02	8	44%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	14	57%	0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	52%	-0.02	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.04
Brian Scalabrine	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	6	42%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3	-0.16	-0.14	-0.00	10	29%	-0.24	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.05	0.12	-0.02	12	46%	0.17	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.07	-0.00	5	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.04	0.07	14	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Tyronn Lue	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	17	49%	0.01	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	19	45%	0.04	4	-0.16	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.6	28.3	15.8	25.3	1.7	33.2	128.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +37.0%

ORL -11.5%

NJN +17.2%

NJN +7.6%

ORL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ORL	NBA	NJN	ORL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.7	15.7	104.2	99.0	100.5
season	15.3	15.7		98.1	100.9
opponent	15.4	16.2		108.2	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.4	16.0	13.0	14.3	14.4
ORL	17.5	15.3	19.2	11.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	81	80	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.54	10	-6	16	14.1	16.5	-2.44	16.3	12.9	3.35
Kerry Kittles	71	69	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.45	13	-9	22	13.6	16.8	-3.23	16.4	14.0	2.46
Jason Kidd	77	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	-1	6	14.4	14.7	-0.37	15.9	15.2	0.65
Rodney Rogers	44	45	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	-2	8	14.8	14.1	0.70	14.1	17.1	-3.00
Kenyon Martin	71	73	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	4	-4	15.1	12.5	2.51	16.5	13.2	3.30
Jason Collins	21	21	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	1	2	13.8	14.6	-0.79	17.6	15.2	2.42
Robert Pack	18	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	5	-6	14.7	14.4	0.37	15.2	15.9	-0.65
Brian Scalabrine	12	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	5	-6	16.5	14.1	2.38	16.3	15.6	0.69
Aaron Williams	56	57	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	10	-16	13.6	15.6	-1.94	14.4	17.7	-3.35
Lucious Harris	24	27	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.07	-9	13	-22	16.8	13.6	3.23	14.0	16.4	-2.46

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donnell Harvey	17	18	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	-2	0	17.1	15.4	1.62	14.9	14.3	0.58
Rod Strickland	22	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-5	6	16.2	15.6	0.65	13.9	14.6	-0.66
Tyronn Lue	47	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-1	-2	17.8	13.7	4.07	14.6	14.2	0.43
Zaza Pachulia	15	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	0	-4	16.7	15.6	1.11	14.7	14.4	0.29
Andrew DeClercq	18	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	2	-8	15.6	15.8	-0.21	15.6	14.1	1.47
Drew Gooden	75	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-11	18	15.8	15.5	0.32	14.1	15.4	-1.23
Shammond Williams	41	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-7	10	13.1	17.7	-4.55	14.4	14.4	0.03
Tracy McGrady	75	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	-2	0	15.1	17.8	-2.66	14.5	13.9	0.60
Juwan Howard	81	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.35	-7	3	-10	15.7	15.7	0.07	14.1	15.9	-1.75
Gordan Giricek	89	89	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.36	-7	3	-10	15.8	15.4	0.32	14.4	14.3	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.6,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.39,0.68,0.27,0	91.8%
UTA 104, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.08,0	91.3%
IND 74, CHA 71	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.08,0	91.2%