NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	92		Excitement	9.3 [106]		MVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): +20.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Comeback	3.4 [274]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -59.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Joseph	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	5	83%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Manu Ginobili	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09	-0.00	0.09	0.00	7	44%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Danny Green	0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	7	40%	0.08	2	-0.10	6	67%	0.05
Boris Diaw	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,-0.05	0.06	-0.11	-0.00	14	63%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Kawhi Leonard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	11	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.05	0.03	17	46%	0.07	6	-0.26	7	71%	-0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.13	0.00	16	66%	0.26	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.06
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	15	59%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Cherry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	0.01	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	12	38%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	0.01	5	45%	-0.11	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.21,-0.27,-0.59	-0.59	-0.10	-0.47	0.02	17	43%	-0.06	5	-0.53	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	3.4	29.5	16.6	26.1	2.7	43.3	143.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +20.5%

SAS +16.1%

CLE -23.6%

SAS +31.8%

SAS +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CLE	NBA	SAS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.8	16.7	15.1	100.0	98.9	104.2
season	15.4	15.9		106.9	108.7
opponent	14.9	14.9		104.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.9	13.9	14.9	15.3	14.8
CLE	15.7	16.7	17.8	16.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	58	58	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.64	1	1	0	15.2	14.1	1.11	17.0	16.2	0.85
Boris Diaw	75	75	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	-6	14	14.8	14.7	0.07	16.7	16.9	-0.26
Tim Duncan	68	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	0	2	14.9	14.2	0.69	16.3	18.0	-1.65
Kawhi Leonard	71	72	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.33	3	-1	4	14.5	15.7	-1.17	16.5	17.4	-0.88
Tony Parker	66	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	3	-4	14.3	15.8	-1.46	16.9	16.2	0.75
Cory Joseph	33	33	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	-2	6	14.5	14.9	-0.48	16.4	16.9	-0.57
Aron Baynes	24	23	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	2	-2	14.2	14.9	-0.69	18.0	16.3	1.65
Danny Green	49	46	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.08	-1	3	-4	15.1	14.3	0.82	16.3	17.1	-0.76
Austin Daye	16	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	8	-14	15.6	14.6	0.97	17.7	16.5	1.13

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	38	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-5	8	17.3	16.3	1.01	15.0	14.6	0.45
Will Cherry	4	4	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.05	-3	1	-4	19.2	16.6	2.64	14.2	14.8	-0.53
Tristan Thompson	30	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	1	-4	17.7	16.2	1.50	14.6	14.8	-0.24
Anderson Varejao	73	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.41	7	-9	16	16.4	17.9	-1.45	14.8	14.5	0.31
Shawn Marion	58	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	7	-16	16.6	16.9	-0.34	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Kyrie Irving	72	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-6	10	16.3	18.4	-2.08	14.9	14.2	0.72
LeBron James	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	1	-4	16.8	16.4	0.39	14.7	15.0	-0.34
Kevin Love	67	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	3	-8	16.3	17.9	-1.56	14.4	15.7	-1.23
Joe Harris	47	50	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.55	-1	-1	0	17.1	16.3	0.74	15.1	14.3	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.39,0.68,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 99, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.6,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.15,0	91.8%
IND 74, CHA 71	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.08,0	91.3%
PHI 84, MIN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.26,0	91.0%