NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	84		Excitement	10.0 [56]		MVP	Eric Snow (PHI): +11.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	82		Comeback	3.2 [221]		LVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): -49.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.12	0.03	0.09	0.01	9	76%	0.20	3	-0.08	11	73%	-0.03
Todd MacCulloch	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Vernon Maxwell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Aaron McKie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.04	-0.07	0.03	0.00	5	40%	0.12	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	9	37%	-0.07	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.03
Tyrone Hill	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	7	40%	-0.07	4	-0.10	6	33%	-0.05
Allen Iverson	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.03,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27	-0.13	-0.14	0.00	17	41%	-0.23	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.10
George Lynch	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28	-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	11	31%	-0.11	3	-0.17	4	50%	-0.07

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	10	57%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,-0.01,-0.23,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.11	0.00	19	56%	0.01	1	-0.08	5	60%	-0.18
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.10
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	10	45%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.28,-0.12	-0.12	0.06	-0.20	-0.02	12	65%	-0.03	1	-0.09	7	71%	-0.24
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.42,-0.49	-0.49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	15	13%	-0.25	4	-0.24	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.0	35.0	19.6	26.4	3.4	40.3	154.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +5.8%

PHI +31.8%

PHI +35.5%

MIN -22.0%

MIN -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	15.0	17.2	15.5	93.3	92.1	100.9
season	15.7	15.0		101.4	102.9
opponent	15.9	15.5		101.7	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.1	17.1	13.2	13.5	15.0
MIN	16.6	16.4	21.1	15.3	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	65	64	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.48	9	-7	16	13.8	18.0	-4.16	17.2	17.2	-0.01
George Lynch	77	76	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.52	5	-3	8	14.4	18.3	-3.92	17.1	18.0	-0.89
Theo Ratliff	75	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-3	8	14.8	15.9	-1.17	16.8	19.2	-2.36
Allen Iverson	68	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	2	-2	15.3	13.8	1.51	16.1	20.6	-4.52
Aaron McKie	41	42	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	3	-4	13.3	16.3	-3.01	17.0	17.4	-0.45
Toni Kukoc	29	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	3	-4	16.3	14.3	2.05	18.9	16.4	2.51
Todd MacCulloch	18	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	3	-4	16.9	14.5	2.49	19.0	16.8	2.24
Tyrone Hill	56	53	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	4	-6	15.7	13.8	1.91	17.7	16.6	1.10
Vernon Maxwell	21	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.04	-4	6	-10	17.8	14.1	3.66	18.1	17.0	1.12

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	45	48	0.36	-0.86	1.23	0.10	9	-11	20	16.6	17.8	-1.20	17.3	12.2	5.10
William Avery	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-2	2	9.5	17.4	-7.91	6.5	15.1	-8.65
Sam Mitchell	10	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	0	-2	21.4	16.7	4.69	14.1	15.0	-0.94
Anthony Peeler	43	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.31	3	-5	8	16.7	17.8	-1.13	13.6	16.3	-2.67
Dean Garrett	33	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	6	-14	19.5	15.9	3.53	13.5	15.7	-2.20
Kevin Garnett	67	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-7	12	16.9	18.4	-1.50	15.4	13.5	1.99
Wally Szczerbiak	66	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	0	-2	16.5	19.5	-3.02	14.7	15.6	-0.88
Chauncey Billups	61	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-1	0	17.1	17.6	-0.54	15.1	14.7	0.41
Terrell Brandon	73	73	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.36	-9	7	-16	17.9	14.1	3.79	15.7	11.6	4.08
LaPhonso Ellis	45	45	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.56	-5	3	-8	17.0	17.5	-0.48	13.5	16.4	-2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, WAS 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.78,0.67,0.43,0	92.4%
NJN 78, GSW 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.08,0	91.7%
SAS 96, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.42,0	91.5%