NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	82		Excitement	8.2 [129]		MVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): +22.1%
Washington Wizards	81		Comeback	4.3 [162]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -32.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.06	0.15	-0.01	12	60%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.04	-0.05	0.06	-0.03	14	46%	0.13	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	12	61%	0.10	4	-0.14	7	71%	-0.05
Greg Anthony	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	2	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.07
Rasheed Wallace	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31,-0.31	-0.15	-0.16	-0.00	7	39%	-0.18	4	-0.14	9	78%	-0.04
Damon Stoudamire	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.17	-0.15	0.00	12	25%	-0.20	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0,0.15	0.15	-0.01	0.16	-0.01	19	56%	0.22	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	12	52%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	117%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tracy Murray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.12	-0.00	4	60%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.05	-0.14	0.02	10	52%	-0.08	3	-0.13	5	100%	0.03
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.22,-0.26,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	16	31%	-0.09	5	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	30.7	15.4	25.9	3.0	39.3	139.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +17.8%

WAS -10.7%

POR +29.8%

WAS -0.4%

POR +13.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	WAS	NBA	POR	WAS	NBA
this game	18.5	16.2	15.8	100.0	96.4	99.6
season	16.0	15.5		102.0	98.8
opponent	15.9	15.9		101.3	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.4	18.8	20.6	18.6	18.5
WAS	15.6	16.4	15.7	17.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	66	69	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.47	10	-9	19	19.1	16.1	2.94	16.5	15.0	1.51
Rasheed Wallace	59	59	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	-3	7	18.0	19.8	-1.80	16.8	14.9	1.93
Arvydas Sabonis	64	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	0	1	18.3	19.2	-0.87	16.1	16.6	-0.44
Greg Anthony	13	15	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.38	2	-1	3	18.5	18.5	-0.03	17.3	16.0	1.33
Jim Jackson	69	71	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.44	-2	3	-5	18.3	19.2	-0.88	15.6	19.5	-3.81
Damon Stoudamire	69	69	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	2	-3	18.5	18.5	0.03	16.0	17.3	-1.33
Walt Williams	38	41	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	3	-5	19.1	18.0	1.15	16.4	16.1	0.34
Kelvin Cato	5	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.02	-2	3	-5	19.0	18.5	0.55	15.5	16.3	-0.78
Stacey Augmon	27	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	6	-11	18.0	18.7	-0.67	15.9	16.4	-0.51

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otis Thorpe	63	61	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.13	8	-9	17	15.8	17.5	-1.65	18.7	18.0	0.66
Calbert Cheaney	22	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	1	-3	15.9	16.4	-0.51	18.1	18.6	-0.54
Randell Jackson	7	7	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	2	-5	15.4	16.3	-0.88	13.7	18.9	-5.22
Chris Whitney	12	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	1	-3	16.0	16.3	-0.28	16.2	18.9	-2.68
Terry Davis	60	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.48	7	-8	15	15.8	17.4	-1.65	17.7	20.5	-2.81
Tracy Murray	11	12	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.26	-2	1	-3	19.2	15.8	3.39	19.5	18.3	1.19
Rod Strickland	72	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.48	1	-2	3	16.3	16.0	0.28	18.9	16.2	2.68
Juwan Howard	80	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.48	1	-2	3	16.0	20.5	-4.47	18.6	16.5	2.09
Mitch Richmond	67	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.50	-1	0	-1	16.7	14.6	2.07	18.6	18.2	0.39
Ben Wallace	26	23	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.38	-12	11	-23	17.2	15.8	1.38	20.7	17.6	3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.78,0.67,0.43,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, MIN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.26,0	92.4%
MEM 91, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.72,0.68,0.58,0	91.5%
POR 81, ORL 79	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.53,0	90.8%