NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	91		Excitement	9.9 [62]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +31.3%
Dallas Mavericks	90		Comeback	5.0 [82]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -49.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.21,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	19	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Darrell Arthur	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	0.00	10	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	5	56%	0.14	1	-0.13	8	75%	-0.07
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.01	0.05	-0.07	-0.01	17	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Xavier Henry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	7	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Hamed Haddadi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.00	5	71%	0.10	3	-0.14	4	50%	-0.04
Acie Law	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	11	31%	-0.08	4	-0.16	4	50%	-0.11

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.32,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.15	0.17	0.01	15	75%	0.43	2	-0.12	6	67%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	17	49%	0.24	2	-0.19	3	67%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	11	46%	0.04	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Dominique Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	58%	0.06	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.06,-0.19	-0.19	0.01	-0.20	0.01	13	48%	-0.16	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.5	-0.50	-0.10	-0.40	-0.00	9	45%	-0.07	5	-0.42	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.3	34.4	16.5	24.4	2.4	39.5	148.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -49.9%

MEM +24.4%

MEM +20.6%

MEM +57.5%

DAL -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	15.5	93.8	94.7	105.7
season	15.5	15.7		106.1	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.8	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.9	15.2	13.9	12.5	14.3
DAL	16.8	16.1	14.3	15.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	66	68	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.58	14	-13	27	14.4	14.1	0.30	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Darrell Arthur	55	54	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.56	6	-5	11	13.8	14.9	-1.07	15.5	16.0	-0.59
O.J. Mayo	75	72	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.53	4	-3	7	14.7	13.1	1.56	15.1	17.8	-2.73
Mike Conley	72	73	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	-7	15	15.2	11.6	3.64	15.4	16.8	-1.43
Rudy Gay	87	86	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.47	-3	4	-7	14.7	10.4	4.35	15.8	15.0	0.79
Tony Allen	31	31	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	-6	13	11.5	15.6	-4.18	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Hamed Haddadi	8	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	3	-5	12.6	14.4	-1.82	12.3	16.0	-3.70
Sam Young	20	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	4	-7	15.2	14.1	1.20	18.0	15.2	2.82
Acie Law	24	22	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.04	-7	8	-15	12.1	15.0	-2.94	16.8	15.4	1.43
Xavier Henry	24	24	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.03	-8	9	-17	14.9	14.1	0.82	17.3	15.2	2.16
Hasheem Thabeet	23	20	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.08	-11	12	-23	14.6	14.2	0.41	17.3	15.3	2.01

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	39	38	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.07	0	-1	1	17.2	14.7	2.48	13.3	14.9	-1.66
Jose Juan Barea	31	32	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.00	2	-3	5	17.3	15.0	2.29	12.6	15.1	-2.50
Dominique Jones	16	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-1	1	16.5	15.6	0.94	15.6	14.0	1.51
Shawn Marion	46	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.45	7	-8	15	16.3	15.2	1.10	13.2	15.4	-2.16
Jason Terry	74	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-4	7	15.3	17.2	-1.95	14.2	14.8	-0.65
Tyson Chandler	56	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	0	-1	14.7	17.2	-2.48	15.2	12.9	2.26
Caron Butler	70	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	3	-7	15.4	16.6	-1.25	14.0	15.1	-1.11
Dirk Nowitzki	74	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.48	-5	4	-9	15.7	15.9	-0.18	15.1	11.6	3.44
Jason Kidd	69	70	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.56	-7	6	-13	15.3	16.8	-1.50	14.9	12.7	2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.72,0.68,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, WAS 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.78,0.67,0.43,0	91.5%
LAL 103, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.68,0.42,0	91.1%
SAS 95, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.39,0.47,0.79,0.77,0.42,0	90.7%