NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	9.0 [123]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +52.8%
Denver Nuggets	97		Comeback	4.4 [175]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -22.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.14,0.43,0.53	0.21	0.35	0.04	24	63%	0.56	1	-0.03	17	88%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3	0.10	0.21	0.01	8	80%	0.32	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.04
Pau Gasol	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	12	62%	0.18	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.06
Sasha Vujacic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Andrew Bynum	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Jordan Farmar	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	6	29%	-0.06	2	-0.16	2	0%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	9	68%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08	0.08	-0.07	0.13	-0.02	15	33%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	-0.05	0.06	0.01	15	49%	0.10	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.03
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	13	52%	0.08	4	-0.09	14	86%	0.05
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	10	30%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	4.3	33.5	21.5	33.4	3.5	44.8	171.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +46.4%

LAL +0.6%

LAL +10.4%

DEN -18.1%

LAL +10.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DEN	NBA	LAL	DEN	NBA
this game	16.1	13.8	15.5	106.2	101.0	106.4
season	14.9	14.4		110.6	109.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	15.8	16.0	16.6	16.1
DEN	12.3	13.6	13.9	15.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	64	63	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.45	8	-2	10	16.5	15.3	1.20	13.2	14.8	-1.60
Pau Gasol	86	85	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-3	12	16.1	16.0	0.07	13.8	13.7	0.05
Derek Fisher	56	56	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	2	2	14.9	17.7	-2.85	12.5	15.6	-3.09
Lamar Odom	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	3	0	16.6	15.2	1.44	14.1	13.2	0.86
Kobe Bryant	82	83	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	2	2	15.9	16.7	-0.79	14.1	11.5	2.58
Shannon Brown	14	13	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	0	6	20.0	15.4	4.60	17.2	13.2	4.00
Luke Walton	29	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	2	2	15.1	16.5	-1.42	14.1	13.6	0.53
Andrew Bynum	44	43	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	5	-4	15.3	16.7	-1.44	13.4	14.1	-0.72
Sasha Vujacic	24	23	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.05	-5	11	-16	16.6	15.9	0.75	13.4	13.9	-0.44
Jordan Farmar	27	27	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.09	-4	10	-14	16.5	15.9	0.63	14.8	13.4	1.40

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	27	27	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-9	12	14.3	13.6	0.73	15.6	16.3	-0.70
Dahntay Jones	40	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-4	2	11.8	15.2	-3.34	14.9	16.8	-1.89
Anthony Carter	30	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.12	-7	1	-8	15.5	13.0	2.56	15.7	16.2	-0.48
Chris Andersen	47	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	0	-6	14.6	13.0	1.66	16.5	15.6	0.87
Chauncey Billups	79	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-5	4	13.8	13.8	-0.06	16.0	16.4	-0.45
Nene	65	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-4	2	13.0	15.4	-2.34	15.7	16.8	-1.09
J.R. Smith	53	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	-1	-4	14.6	12.8	1.78	16.3	15.8	0.41
Carmelo Anthony	73	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.44	-3	-3	0	13.4	14.8	-1.39	16.6	14.1	2.49
Kenyon Martin	66	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	1	-8	13.8	13.7	0.15	16.4	15.2	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.68,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.42,0	91.5%
LAC 104, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.45,0.4,0.58,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.27,0	91.3%
SAC 96, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.26,0	91.2%