NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	8.4 [179]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +31.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	84		Comeback	3.7 [523]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): -49.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0.31	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.12,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.31	0.10	0.20	-0.01	30	55%	0.31	0	0.00	5	100%	0.10
Luc Longley	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.01	8	64%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Dickey Simpkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Steve Kerr	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	16	49%	-0.12	1	-0.03	11	45%	-0.09
Toni Kukoc	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	10	30%	-0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.2,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	11	69%	0.18	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.06
Marcus Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dontonio Wingfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	15	51%	-0.07	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	14	45%	-0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.25,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.49	-0.49	-0.17	-0.31	0.02	18	39%	-0.27	4	-0.23	10	70%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	30.4	16.6	28.1	1.8	34.2	138.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +22.1%

CHI +18.1%

POR -26.3%

CHI +40.3%

POR -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	POR	NBA	CHI	POR	NBA
this game	17.1	17.8	15.6	107.3	101.2	104.4
season	15.5	15.5		110.5	105.2
opponent	15.5	16.1		101.6	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	18.6	18.7	15.6	17.1
POR	16.5	15.7	20.2	19.4	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	33	33	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-5	14	17.2	17.0	0.20	17.5	18.1	-0.54
Dickey Simpkins	21	20	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	-1	6	17.4	17.0	0.43	18.6	17.6	1.06
Jason Caffey	31	29	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	-3	10	17.2	17.0	0.16	15.7	19.0	-3.31
Michael Jordan	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	5	-6	16.9	17.9	-1.00	18.1	16.4	1.67
Scottie Pippen	68	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	2	0	16.7	18.8	-2.08	17.9	17.6	0.33
Toni Kukoc	64	66	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.06	12	-8	20	17.3	16.2	1.07	18.7	14.6	4.02
Bill Wennington	10	10	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	-1	6	18.7	16.8	1.87	16.9	18.0	-1.07
Randy Brown	15	17	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	2	0	14.9	17.5	-2.60	17.3	18.0	-0.69
Jud Buechler	13	14	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	4	-4	17.3	17.0	0.29	16.9	18.0	-1.10
Luc Longley	48	50	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.01	-10	14	-24	17.0	17.2	-0.25	17.6	18.3	-0.71
Ron Harper	37	36	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.02	-11	15	-26	17.7	16.6	1.12	18.6	17.3	1.36

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dontonio Wingfield	7	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-1	-2	16.1	18.0	-1.86	14.8	17.2	-2.40
Marcus Brown	10	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-2	0	17.7	17.9	-0.16	21.5	16.4	5.07
Rasheed Wallace	21	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	3	-10	18.9	17.5	1.42	19.0	16.4	2.61
Stacey Augmon	7	6	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	5	-14	15.7	18.0	-2.33	21.2	16.7	4.43
Clifford Robinson	67	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-3	2	18.0	17.1	0.89	17.5	14.8	2.74
Isaiah Rider	78	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.45	5	-9	14	17.8	17.8	0.05	16.8	21.2	-4.41
Chris Dudley	74	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.41	3	-7	10	17.9	17.8	0.07	17.2	16.3	0.82
Jermaine O'Neal	31	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	3	-10	16.6	18.6	-2.02	16.1	17.6	-1.46
Gary Trent	47	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.49	3	-7	10	18.5	17.0	1.54	16.2	18.3	-2.09
Kenny Anderson	73	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-2	0	17.9	17.7	0.16	16.4	21.5	-5.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.26,0	92.3%
LAL 103, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.68,0.42,0	91.5%
LAL 97, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.38,0.54,0.67,0.27,0	91.3%