NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	9.5 [92]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (SAC): +55.5%
Washington Wizards	94		Comeback	3.6 [137]		LVP	Nene (WAS): -45.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.55	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.09,0.24,0.55	0.05	0.50	-0.01	16	56%	0.59	1	-0.04	7	43%	-0.10
Francisco Garcia	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.00	-0.04	10	81%	0.15	1	0.01	1	100%	0.01
Jimmer Fredette	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	43%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	8	60%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
John Salmons	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	12	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.26,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	10	46%	0.07	3	-0.24	8	62%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.39	0.39	0.13	0.27	0.02	9	82%	0.46	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.06	0.01	13	72%	0.20	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.14,-0.06,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	16	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	6	46%	-0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.45	-0.45	-0.18	-0.28	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	6	-0.40	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	25.8	15.8	27.4	1.7	37.1	136.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +22.2%

WAS -4.3%

SAC +2.7%

SAC +27.2%

SAC +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	WAS	NBA	SAC	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.4	101.1	98.9	104.1
season	15.0	15.1		104.7	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.2		101.2	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.4	16.3	17.7	14.8	15.4
WAS	13.3	15.0	16.6	15.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	45	45	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.48	9	-7	16	16.9	14.1	2.87	15.2	14.6	0.54
Jimmer Fredette	27	27	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.31	11	-9	20	15.4	15.4	-0.07	15.6	14.6	0.97
Isaiah Thomas	65	65	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.46	2	0	2	14.7	16.9	-2.21	14.6	15.5	-0.93
Tyreke Evans	73	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.58	-3	5	-8	15.2	16.3	-1.11	14.6	16.0	-1.38
Charles Hayes	42	41	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	-11	24	16.0	15.0	0.95	15.5	14.4	1.13
Francisco Garcia	50	50	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.25	0	2	-2	15.8	15.0	0.88	15.4	14.3	1.15
Thomas Robinson	57	56	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	0	2	16.1	14.4	1.71	14.6	15.4	-0.83
James Johnson	10	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	2	-2	14.7	15.5	-0.81	14.7	14.9	-0.22
Jason Thompson	27	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	6	-10	14.8	15.7	-0.85	16.1	14.4	1.77
John Salmons	27	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	7	-12	13.4	16.2	-2.81	13.3	15.5	-2.28
DeMarcus Cousins	52	53	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	0.01	-15	17	-32	15.3	15.6	-0.29	14.7	15.2	-0.53

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	67	66	0.70	-1.20	1.90	0.14	19	-21	40	14.5	15.9	-1.42	15.5	15.2	0.36
Jordan Crawford	34	35	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.23	-3	1	-4	14.5	15.1	-0.61	15.0	15.7	-0.67
Bradley Beal	48	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-5	8	15.1	14.6	0.51	15.6	15.3	0.33
A.J. Price	35	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	0	-2	15.4	14.6	0.85	16.4	14.9	1.45
Martell Webster	66	65	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.30	7	-9	16	14.3	16.2	-1.89	14.8	16.8	-1.97
Trevor Booker	15	15	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	6	-14	16.3	14.6	1.71	15.4	15.4	-0.03
Kevin Seraphin	45	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	6	-14	15.5	14.3	1.17	16.9	14.1	2.83
Nene	62	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-1	0	14.8	15.1	-0.35	14.5	17.2	-2.76
Garrett Temple	1	1	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	2	-6	1.0	15.0	-14.04	0.0	15.6	-15.59
John Wall	60	61	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.48	-2	0	-2	14.6	15.4	-0.85	14.9	16.4	-1.45
Trevor Ariza	42	42	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.68	-11	9	-20	15.8	14.2	1.68	16.5	14.5	2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.42,0	92.3%
LAL 97, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.38,0.54,0.67,0.27,0	92.2%
DEN 93, SAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.16,0	92.2%