NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	81		Excitement	10.1 [56]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +5.5%
Orlando Magic	79		Comeback	6.9 [305]		LVP	Chris Gatling (ORL): -31.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	61%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Harvey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Anthony	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	45%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.37,-0.08	-0.16	0.08	-0.01	18	34%	0.22	4	-0.30	2	50%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	10	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	10	46%	-0.04	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Scottie Pippen	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	12	35%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Steven Smith	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.23	-0.07	-0.16	0.00	10	48%	-0.14	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	10	50%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.12	0.13	-0.01	12	43%	0.15	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.04
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	3	0%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	9	11%	-0.11	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.14	0.01	15	30%	-0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.23,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.12	-0.20	-0.00	11	36%	-0.12	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,-0.17,-0.32	-0.32	0.06	-0.38	0.00	13	68%	-0.19	2	-0.13	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.6	29.2	17.4	26.5	2.4	33.4	134.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +73.6%

ORL -11.5%

ORL -36.1%

POR +10.2%

POR +13.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ORL	NBA	POR	ORL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.3	15.2	85.3	84.9	101.7
season	15.9	13.6		105.9	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.7		99.3	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.1	18.0	14.2	14.1	15.3
ORL	15.6	12.8	16.4	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	78	76	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.49	6	-4	10	15.2	15.9	-0.76	14.9	17.2	-2.34
Steven Smith	72	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.43	7	-5	12	14.5	17.9	-3.43	15.0	16.3	-1.36
Damon Stoudamire	66	66	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.48	3	-1	4	14.6	16.9	-2.28	15.4	15.2	0.14
Scottie Pippen	61	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	1	0	14.8	16.3	-1.48	15.8	14.5	1.25
Detlef Schrempf	52	50	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.34	0	2	-2	16.4	14.0	2.36	13.7	17.2	-3.51
Arvydas Sabonis	64	63	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	-3	8	14.2	17.5	-3.27	16.0	13.9	2.15
Brian Grant	12	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	3	-4	18.5	14.9	3.64	11.7	15.9	-4.10
Greg Anthony	29	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.03	-1	3	-4	16.9	14.6	2.28	15.2	15.4	-0.14
Stacey Augmon	7	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	4	-6	17.9	15.1	2.74	20.4	14.9	5.52
Antonio Harvey	11	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	5	-8	15.3	15.3	-0.05	19.5	14.7	4.80
Bonzi Wells	23	23	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	7	-12	17.9	14.5	3.43	16.3	15.0	1.36

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Amaechi	41	42	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.15	1	-3	4	16.2	14.6	1.60	16.7	14.2	2.42
Bo Outlaw	53	53	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-3	4	16.0	14.4	1.62	16.2	14.2	1.97
Corey Maggette	34	33	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.12	-4	2	-6	16.4	14.7	1.76	16.8	14.5	2.26
Michael Doleac	31	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-2	2	15.8	15.1	0.73	13.9	16.0	-2.02
Chucky Atkins	31	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	2	-6	14.9	15.5	-0.58	16.7	14.6	2.07
Pat Garrity	19	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	0	-2	14.3	15.6	-1.33	13.8	15.7	-1.91
Ben Wallace	43	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.25	-5	3	-8	14.6	16.0	-1.38	14.0	16.3	-2.27
Darrell Armstrong	62	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.48	2	-4	6	15.5	14.9	0.58	14.6	16.7	-2.07
Chris Gatling	43	48	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.50	0	-2	2	15.4	15.2	0.22	16.6	14.0	2.56
Monty Williams	59	62	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.56	2	-4	6	14.7	16.4	-1.76	14.5	16.8	-2.26
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	49	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	-1	0	14.5	16.3	-1.80	14.5	16.2	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.53,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, VAN 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.42,0	91.7%
WAS 95, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.84,0	91.6%
CHH 95, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.64,0.46,0.45,0.58,0	91.5%