NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	95		Excitement	9.0 [122]		MVP	Eddie Jones (CHH): +29.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	4.8 [160]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -22.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.29	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.02,0.29	0.02	0.26	-0.01	20	57%	0.37	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.05
Chucky Brown	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.19,0.19	0.01	0.18	-0.00	4	50%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.11	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Brad Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.08,-0.2,-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	13	50%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.08
Baron Davis	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Elden Campbell	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	17	45%	-0.07	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.03
David Wesley	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	12	25%	-0.07	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.09	-0.00	12	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	10	65%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	24	50%	0.09	2	-0.22	8	50%	-0.09
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	8	25%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	29.0	16.6	23.7	2.6	30.1	126.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +8.9%

CHH +28.1%

CHH +30.5%

PHI -16.9%

PHI -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	PHI	NBA	CHH	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	14.3	15.2	100.0	97.9	101.7
season	14.9	15.0		101.5	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		98.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.0	14.9	17.1	16.1	16.0
PHI	13.4	12.8	16.4	15.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	54	52	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.46	10	-8	18	15.8	16.2	-0.38	14.8	13.8	1.04
Chucky Brown	28	30	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.43	9	-7	16	16.2	15.9	0.38	14.0	14.5	-0.44
Eddie Jones	84	83	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.52	3	-1	4	15.9	16.4	-0.44	13.9	17.2	-3.24
Anthony Mason	83	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-4	10	15.9	16.6	-0.69	14.7	11.9	2.80
David Wesley	80	81	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-4	10	15.8	16.8	-0.97	14.6	12.9	1.65
Eddie Robinson	10	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	3	-4	16.9	15.9	1.03	15.6	14.2	1.35
Dale Ellis	9	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	5	-8	16.3	15.9	0.39	13.4	14.4	-0.99
Baron Davis	17	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	5	-8	16.5	15.9	0.60	14.2	14.4	-0.14
Elden Campbell	71	73	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	6	-10	15.8	16.5	-0.70	14.1	15.2	-1.10
Brad Miller	39	38	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.03	-13	15	-28	16.4	15.7	0.73	13.9	14.6	-0.65

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	26	27	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.16	-4	2	-6	13.8	14.5	-0.73	16.2	15.9	0.29
Tyrone Hill	76	75	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.29	10	-12	22	14.1	15.5	-1.42	16.5	14.1	2.32
Aaron McKie	35	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-7	12	13.5	14.8	-1.39	16.4	15.7	0.74
Larry Hughes	26	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	2	-6	12.8	14.9	-2.11	14.2	16.7	-2.51
Matt Geiger	45	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	12	-26	14.6	14.1	0.58	14.6	17.1	-2.50
George Lynch	69	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.51	2	-4	6	14.5	13.8	0.73	16.1	15.6	0.53
Theo Ratliff	64	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.42	-1	-1	0	14.7	13.7	0.98	16.2	15.6	0.55
Eric Snow	50	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.48	0	-2	2	15.7	12.8	2.88	16.4	15.5	0.89
Allen Iverson	84	84	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.56	-4	2	-6	14.2	15.3	-1.06	16.0	15.5	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.64,0.46,0.45,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 101, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.28,0	92.4%
MIL 87, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.58,0	91.5%
POR 81, ORL 79	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.53,0	91.5%