NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	95		Excitement	9.8 [64]		MVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): +73.3%
New Orleans Hornets	92		Comeback	5.4 [33]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -36.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0.73	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.1,0.73	0.18	0.56	0.01	21	67%	0.84	2	-0.11	7	100%	0.16
Brendan Haywood	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.01	9	50%	0.14	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.00	7	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.01	8	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Dominic McGuire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Darius Songaila	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.37	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.37	-0.14	-0.23	-0.00	16	27%	-0.31	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.04	0.01	7	95%	0.22	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.09
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	14	76%	0.21	4	-0.14	1	0%	-0.03
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	64%	0.09	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	9	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	4	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	44%	0.02	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.21
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	16	34%	0.03	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.35	-0.35	-0.10	-0.27	-0.02	11	46%	-0.11	5	-0.24	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.5	26.3	15.8	28.4	2.0	40.4	135.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH -20.0%

WAS +53.4%

NOH -16.8%

WAS +32.1%

WAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NOH	NBA	WAS	NOH	NBA
this game	16.0	16.9	15.4	109.2	104.5	105.7
season	16.1	15.9		106.8	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.5		104.0	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.6	16.8	13.9	17.2	16.0
NOH	14.7	16.7	16.1	20.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	66	69	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.37	19	-16	35	15.8	16.9	-1.15	17.1	16.2	0.91
Antawn Jamison	66	68	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.43	9	-6	15	15.9	16.6	-0.71	16.6	17.7	-1.13
Dominic McGuire	29	31	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.24	14	-11	25	14.5	16.8	-2.28	17.5	16.5	0.99
Brendan Haywood	61	63	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.53	3	0	3	16.1	15.8	0.32	17.3	15.9	1.33
Darius Songaila	33	33	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	0	3	17.0	15.4	1.56	18.2	16.1	2.09
Antonio Daniels	50	49	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	3	-3	16.8	15.0	1.75	17.0	16.7	0.33
Oleksiy Pecherov	9	9	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	-1	5	15.6	16.1	-0.53	15.8	17.0	-1.22
Andray Blatche	48	48	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.42	-20	23	-43	16.5	15.5	0.99	15.4	18.6	-3.25
Roger Mason Jr.	46	45	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.10	-3	6	-9	15.4	16.8	-1.41	16.8	16.9	-0.11
Nick Young	27	25	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.00	-14	17	-31	16.5	15.8	0.65	16.6	17.0	-0.38

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	57	58	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-8	13	17.6	15.5	2.05	16.2	15.7	0.47
Ryan Bowen	13	13	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-5	7	22.7	15.9	6.83	17.8	15.7	2.13
Jannero Pargo	28	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	1	-5	19.6	15.6	3.95	16.6	15.8	0.78
Mike James	20	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	1	-5	17.4	16.7	0.68	15.3	16.2	-0.92
Bonzi Wells	21	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	1	-5	19.5	16.1	3.42	16.7	15.8	0.87
David West	76	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	0	-3	16.1	21.7	-5.64	15.6	18.3	-2.67
Morris Peterson	53	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.53	3	-6	9	15.5	19.0	-3.48	15.9	16.2	-0.37
Chris Paul	75	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.47	-1	-2	1	16.7	17.8	-1.14	16.1	15.5	0.62
Peja Stojakovic	69	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.51	-2	-1	-1	16.2	19.3	-3.05	16.0	16.1	-0.09
Hilton Armstrong	28	26	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.39	-7	4	-11	14.5	18.0	-3.54	15.4	16.3	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.63,0.6,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.73,0	93.1%
UTA 89, HOU 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.84,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.84,0	91.8%
CHI 88, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.45,0.37,0.55,0.72,0	91.6%