NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	8.5 [202]		MVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): +18.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	87		Comeback	8.2 [209]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -59.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.01	19	51%	0.18	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.02	5	92%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,0.03	-0.04	0.07	-0.00	16	44%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	5	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.04
Tyrus Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.06	0.00	-0.07	-0.01	4	60%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.19
Chris Duhon	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	13	42%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.59	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.46,-0.59	-0.26	-0.33	0.00	19	21%	-0.46	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.09	0.01	7	94%	0.25	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.05
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.13	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	14	57%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	-0.00	10	55%	0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	9	33%	-0.10	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.44	-0.44	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	16	45%	-0.32	2	-0.12	10	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	27.5	16.6	25.2	2.5	38.3	137.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +14.9%

PHI -34.4%

CHI +52.1%

CHI +16.2%

CHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	16.8	15.9	15.4	100.0	98.9	104.5
season	14.5	15.5		103.1	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.9		105.2	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.5	16.2	17.0	15.6	16.8
PHI	14.9	14.5	16.5	18.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	26	24	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.54	8	-7	15	14.6	17.8	-3.14	18.5	14.9	3.52
Chris Duhon	64	63	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.50	6	-5	11	17.1	16.1	0.97	15.2	17.7	-2.55
Luol Deng	74	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.56	0	1	-1	17.0	15.8	1.24	15.6	17.4	-1.88
Kirk Hinrich	53	54	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.59	-5	6	-11	17.8	15.3	2.52	15.8	16.1	-0.26
Ben Wallace	73	73	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.48	-8	9	-17	17.1	15.4	1.72	15.1	20.0	-4.95
Tyrus Thomas	30	30	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	-1	3	17.7	16.4	1.37	17.7	15.0	2.73
Thabo Sefolosha	10	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	-2	5	17.3	16.8	0.53	17.7	15.6	2.09
Michael Sweetney	4	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	1	-1	23.0	16.5	6.46	19.0	15.7	3.25
Ben Gordon	61	63	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.18	4	-3	7	15.3	20.2	-4.89	16.6	14.1	2.48
P.J. Brown	45	46	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.03	-5	6	-11	16.5	17.1	-0.61	14.7	17.2	-2.52

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	13	13	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.08	-1	0	-1	18.6	15.4	3.19	13.5	17.4	-3.95
Steven Hunter	61	62	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	2	-5	15.6	16.6	-0.95	16.0	18.9	-2.92
Rodney Carney	2	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	1	-3	7.0	16.1	-9.10	15.5	16.9	-1.36
Willie Green	51	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-1	1	15.2	16.9	-1.72	16.7	17.0	-0.24
Samuel Dalembert	71	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-6	11	15.6	17.2	-1.66	17.8	13.6	4.11
Joe Smith	41	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-1	1	17.4	14.6	2.79	16.9	16.8	0.06
Andre Iguodala	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	0	-1	15.9	15.9	0.03	16.5	20.1	-3.66
Andre Miller	73	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.56	2	-3	5	15.2	19.2	-3.98	17.5	13.7	3.84
Kyle Korver	49	51	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.50	-5	4	-9	17.1	14.4	2.67	16.6	17.2	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.45,0.37,0.55,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 99, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.75,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.32,0.29,0.43,0.73,0	92.7%
WAS 95, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.84,0	91.6%
PHX 87, MIN 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0	91.0%