NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	98		Excitement	9.2 [90]		MVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): +18.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	96		Comeback	6.2 [87]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -40.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.19	0.07	0.12	0.00	19	67%	0.34	3	-0.15	10	80%	0.04
Jamal Crawford	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	70%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Travis Best	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.08	0.00	5	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Eddy Curry	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	86%	0.10	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.05
Norman Richardson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	10	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	3	57%	-0.05	4	-0.10	8	50%	-0.07

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.09	-0.00	3	67%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	45%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Alvin Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	11	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	10	48%	-0.09	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.05
Corie Blount	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	7	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.07,-0.14,-0.4	-0.40	-0.09	-0.31	0.01	17	51%	-0.22	5	-0.18	7	71%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	29.5	14.6	26.3	2.4	41.4	143.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +60.9%

CHI +15.6%

PHI -1.8%

PHI -19.7%

PHI -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	14.3	16.7	15.6	105.4	103.2	102.3
season	15.6	15.9		96.3	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		98.2	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.3	14.9	13.7	15.4	14.3
PHI	14.9	15.8	18.4	18.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	62	64	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.58	7	-5	12	14.1	14.7	-0.68	16.2	17.6	-1.37
Fred Hoiberg	52	52	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.53	7	-5	12	14.3	14.3	-0.00	17.6	15.5	2.17
Tyson Chandler	61	60	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.53	4	-2	6	13.1	16.5	-3.37	15.9	18.2	-2.28
Eddy Curry	51	53	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.17	10	-8	18	15.1	13.3	1.83	18.3	14.5	3.78
Travis Best	34	37	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	-2	6	16.1	13.2	2.93	18.2	15.7	2.56
Jamal Crawford	59	56	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.27	-2	4	-6	13.2	16.1	-2.93	15.7	18.2	-2.56
Trenton Hassell	59	57	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	6	-10	13.2	16.1	-2.93	15.5	18.5	-3.02
Norman Richardson	14	14	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.02	-4	6	-10	18.8	13.5	5.29	18.8	16.3	2.48
Marcus Fizer	45	45	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.11	-3	5	-8	15.1	13.5	1.63	16.9	16.5	0.37
Dalibor Bagaric	28	27	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.04	-9	11	-20	14.5	14.2	0.25	15.5	17.2	-1.63

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vonteego Cummings	27	27	0.61	-1.11	1.73	0.23	13	-15	28	14.9	17.4	-2.52	12.7	14.9	-2.18
Jabari Smith	35	35	0.41	-0.91	1.33	0.03	13	-15	28	14.5	18.0	-3.51	13.2	14.9	-1.70
Alvin Jones	40	40	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.05	7	-9	16	16.5	16.8	-0.31	14.7	14.0	0.76
Samuel Dalembert	17	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	2	-6	17.5	16.5	0.97	15.4	14.1	1.30
Raja Bell	30	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	2	-6	16.1	17.0	-0.90	13.2	14.8	-1.52
Matt Harpring	64	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	2	-6	17.5	14.9	2.54	14.3	14.2	0.16
Derrick McKey	57	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.43	-3	1	-4	16.5	16.9	-0.39	14.4	14.1	0.27
Speedy Claxton	77	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.57	1	-3	4	16.8	15.9	0.97	14.7	12.3	2.41
Eric Snow	77	78	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.48	-10	8	-18	16.8	15.9	0.89	14.8	11.4	3.45
Corie Blount	41	41	-1.21	0.71	-1.93	-0.66	-19	17	-36	18.4	15.3	3.06	14.1	14.5	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.63,0.6,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.84,0	93.1%
OKC 100, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.74,0	91.6%
HOU 85, CHA 82	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.73,0	91.0%