NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	89		Excitement	8.7 [181]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +35.4%
Houston Rockets	87		Comeback	9.8 [91]		LVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): -16.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.35	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.35	0.13	0.25	0.02	11	65%	0.39	1	-0.04	12	83%	0.09
Derrick Favors	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.27	-0.03	0.31	0.01	15	50%	0.35	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.19	-0.04	0.23	-0.00	12	62%	0.36	6	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	11	29%	-0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	6	77%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	-0.02	19	55%	0.20	5	-0.10	9	89%	0.08
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	71%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.13	0.01	6	36%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.05,0.18,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.04	-0.02	7	36%	0.21	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	25.6	15.4	26.4	2.6	37.2	135.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +16.6%

UTA +23.0%

UTA +29.6%

HOU -22.2%

UTA +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	17.6	13.9	14.9	97.8	94.6	105.1
season	16.3	14.0		104.6	105.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.4	17.4	16.0	19.8	17.6
HOU	12.6	13.9	13.4	16.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	74	74	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.54	7	-5	12	17.4	18.4	-0.97	14.8	10.6	4.20
Derrick Favors	68	68	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.47	8	-6	14	17.5	17.7	-0.24	14.3	13.0	1.26
Joe Ingles	29	30	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.60	1	1	0	17.4	17.6	-0.22	12.6	14.6	-1.98
Shelvin Mack	61	61	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.56	-2	4	-6	17.7	17.3	0.34	14.9	12.1	2.77
Rodney Hood	72	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	-5	12	17.5	17.9	-0.42	13.6	15.1	-1.48
Trevor Booker	47	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	-12	26	17.8	17.3	0.51	14.4	13.3	1.11
Raul Neto	30	31	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.12	4	-2	6	17.3	17.7	-0.34	12.1	14.9	-2.77
Chris Johnson	8	8	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	8	-14	20.6	17.3	3.36	14.1	13.9	0.21
Trey Lyles	19	19	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.01	-9	11	-20	17.8	17.5	0.29	12.8	14.2	-1.44
Rudy Gobert	47	46	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.04	-14	16	-30	17.3	17.8	-0.54	13.4	14.5	-1.13

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Beasley	40	38	0.53	-1.03	1.56	0.24	10	-12	22	14.4	13.6	0.82	17.4	17.7	-0.24
Clint Capela	39	37	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.05	10	-12	22	12.4	15.1	-2.65	17.5	17.6	-0.17
KJ McDaniels	7	6	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-4	6	8.9	14.4	-5.50	21.7	17.3	4.40
Jason Terry	34	31	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.20	8	-10	18	11.8	15.2	-3.44	18.5	17.1	1.35
Donatas Motiejunas	34	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	2	-6	14.0	13.9	0.06	16.1	18.5	-2.40
Corey Brewer	33	31	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.51	0	-2	2	12.9	14.5	-1.65	20.1	16.2	3.90
James Harden	79	79	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.42	-8	6	-14	14.3	11.7	2.61	17.1	20.4	-3.29
Dwight Howard	64	64	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.42	-9	7	-16	14.6	12.4	2.17	17.7	17.2	0.48
Patrick Beverley	60	61	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.44	-10	8	-18	14.7	12.4	2.34	17.2	18.4	-1.20
Trevor Ariza	70	71	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.53	-9	7	-16	14.8	11.0	3.80	17.3	18.6	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.84,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.84,0	91.8%
MIL 102, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.79,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.35,0.72,0	91.7%
TOR 98, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.77,0	90.3%