NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	10.3 [58]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (TOR): +45.0%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	12.9 [44]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): -60.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.45	0.06	0.39	-0.00	8	69%	0.49	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.11	-0.06	0.17	-0.00	19	49%	0.19	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.24
Milt Palacio	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.10	0.00	5	93%	0.19	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.06
Matt Bonner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rafael Araujo	0.01	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Loren Woods	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	7	31%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,-0.01,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	13	58%	0.15	3	-0.28	17	88%	0.07

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.03,0.09,0.28	0.28	-0.00	0.29	0.00	11	55%	0.36	1	-0.08	7	86%	0.19
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	10	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	10	46%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.07	0.01	7	70%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	10	37%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.27,-0.6	-0.60	-0.09	-0.53	-0.01	17	43%	-0.56	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	27.4	15.8	29.1	1.8	41.2	144.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +117.3%

TOR +21.4%

IND -49.4%

IND -39.3%

TOR +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	17.4	15.5	114.0	109.0	104.0
season	15.1	16.8		104.8	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		101.6	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.7	15.9	15.5	15.9	15.5
IND	15.2	17.5	17.3	20.1	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	68	73	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.87	-2	3	-5	15.8	14.4	1.39	16.4	21.9	-5.46
Chris Bosh	71	74	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.34	16	-15	31	15.3	16.4	-1.10	17.6	16.1	1.52
Morris Peterson	55	56	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.49	9	-8	17	15.2	16.0	-0.85	18.3	15.8	2.50
Milt Palacio	81	85	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	-6	13	15.3	17.8	-2.45	17.4	16.2	1.20
Donyell Marshall	45	44	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.61	-3	4	-7	15.5	15.5	0.05	18.4	16.4	1.92
Rafael Araujo	17	20	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	-2	5	16.8	15.2	1.59	15.6	17.9	-2.31
Loren Woods	13	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.02	-2	3	-5	14.2	15.7	-1.48	17.7	17.3	0.35
Lamond Murray	21	21	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.00	-7	8	-15	15.7	15.4	0.30	16.6	17.6	-1.08
Matt Bonner	26	27	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.06	-12	13	-25	15.8	15.4	0.40	16.3	17.9	-1.57
Eric Williams	33	32	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.33	-4	5	-9	15.6	15.4	0.19	18.4	16.8	1.58

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Gill	26	27	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.10	13	-14	27	15.7	18.1	-2.40	15.7	15.4	0.26
Scot Pollard	28	28	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.11	0	-1	1	15.4	18.3	-2.97	15.7	15.4	0.33
Jonathan Bender	13	11	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-2	3	18.8	17.2	1.61	15.6	15.5	0.17
Anthony Johnson	52	48	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	0.20	-10	9	-19	16.7	18.4	-1.64	15.5	15.4	0.12
Jeff Foster	48	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.51	10	-11	21	18.2	16.4	1.81	15.5	15.4	0.07
Jermaine O'Neal	47	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.21	-20	19	-39	17.1	17.7	-0.52	16.7	14.1	2.60
Stephen Jackson	73	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.57	2	-3	5	17.3	18.0	-0.74	15.3	16.6	-1.38
Austin Croshere	52	50	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.74	6	-7	13	18.2	16.2	1.97	14.3	17.1	-2.79
Reggie Miller	57	52	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	2	-5	17.2	17.7	-0.51	15.6	15.3	0.32
Fred Jones	49	50	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.52	-4	3	-7	18.8	15.7	3.08	15.4	15.6	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.77,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.66,0.76,0.54,0.77,0.92,0	92.4%
BOS 100, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.69,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.36,0.43,0.73,0	91.1%
PHX 97, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.53,0.62,0.85,0.84,0.84,0	90.9%