NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	8.4 [191]		MVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): +60.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	25.7 [18]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -29.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.61	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.61	0.15	0.44	-0.01	24	63%	0.63	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Walter McCarty	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	1	150%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Bremer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Grant Long	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Shammond Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.02,0.07,-0.14,-0.26	-0.06	-0.20	0.00	26	57%	0.02	6	-0.28	18	72%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	82%	0.06	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
John Salmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.11,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.05	-0.01	22	58%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	-0.01	7	53%	0.05	1	-0.09	1	0%	-0.03
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	10	50%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	12	39%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.11,-0.29	-0.29	-0.10	-0.22	-0.02	9	57%	-0.18	5	-0.11	12	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.4	38.3	19.8	26.6	3.8	33.2	153.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +100.5%

PHI -20.7%

PHI -29.2%

BOS +2.4%

PHI -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	16.0	15.5	111.1	111.2	101.6
season	15.6	15.3		99.3	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.9	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.9	16.9	17.3	15.8	16.2
PHI	15.7	13.1	17.0	18.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Bremer	66	64	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.34	14	-13	27	16.5	15.5	0.97	16.9	13.5	3.40
Kedrick Brown	37	39	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.58	5	-4	9	15.4	16.8	-1.41	16.6	15.5	1.06
Antoine Walker	85	83	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.38	8	-7	15	16.2	15.6	0.65	16.3	11.8	4.43
Paul Pierce	83	81	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	-6	13	16.5	12.3	4.26	16.1	14.1	2.02
Walter McCarty	49	48	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.61	-14	15	-29	15.8	16.7	-0.87	15.6	16.4	-0.79
Vin Baker	49	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	-9	19	16.8	15.5	1.37	15.8	16.2	-0.38
Eric Williams	42	41	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.12	1	0	1	17.0	15.5	1.43	16.3	15.7	0.65
Grant Long	15	16	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.15	-13	14	-27	13.3	16.8	-3.45	12.7	16.7	-3.92
Shammond Williams	24	25	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.13	-13	14	-27	15.5	16.5	-0.97	13.5	16.9	-3.40

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	13	13	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.09	11	-12	23	11.5	16.7	-5.19	17.2	16.0	1.19
Brian Skinner	35	32	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.03	5	-6	11	15.0	16.6	-1.64	15.7	16.5	-0.72
Derrick Coleman	50	51	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.08	0	-1	1	15.7	16.3	-0.56	16.3	16.1	0.19
Greg Buckner	44	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-1	1	16.3	15.6	0.65	15.2	17.1	-1.91
Aaron McKie	55	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	3	-7	16.5	15.0	1.52	16.2	16.2	0.02
Kenny Thomas	50	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.63	7	-8	15	15.3	16.9	-1.61	16.4	16.0	0.34
Allen Iverson	80	81	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.51	-4	3	-7	16.1	14.3	1.82	16.1	17.1	-1.00
Eric Snow	71	71	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.46	-8	7	-15	16.3	14.8	1.49	16.9	13.7	3.14
Keith Van Horn	47	51	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.45	-12	11	-23	17.2	14.6	2.60	16.1	16.4	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.69,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.36,0.43,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.77,0	91.1%
MEM 104, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.84,0	90.5%
IND 79, PHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.39,0.62,0.31,0.43,0.74,0	90.4%