NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	98		Excitement	8.7 [128]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +18.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	4.6 [157]		LVP	Fred Hoiberg (MIN): -13.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.04,0.17	0.04	0.13	-0.00	24	56%	0.23	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Brian Cardinal	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.09	0.10	-0.01	-0.00	7	85%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Calbert Cheaney	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Cherokee Parks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	44%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	12	39%	-0.10	0	0.00	7	71%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	9	40%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0,-0.05,0,0,0.09,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.15	0.01	23	57%	0.21	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.07
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	21	59%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	15	57%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	-0.13	0.00	9	45%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	30.4	15.6	23.1	1.7	30.3	126.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -6.5%

GSW +21.2%

GSW +43.7%

MIN -8.7%

GSW +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	16.9	15.7	15.7	111.4	106.7	100.5
season	16.1	15.6		100.8	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.3		98.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.8	16.4	18.3	17.3	16.9
MIN	13.5	15.6	15.3	18.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	39	40	1.11	-0.61	1.72	0.73	13	-10	23	16.0	17.6	-1.57	17.0	14.6	2.45
Brian Cardinal	43	44	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.42	11	-8	19	16.4	17.3	-0.89	16.7	14.6	2.13
Jason Richardson	76	76	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.48	1	2	-1	17.2	15.1	2.10	14.5	22.6	-8.15
Erick Dampier	66	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	7	-11	17.2	16.0	1.26	15.7	15.4	0.32
Nick Van Exel	64	67	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.34	-6	9	-15	17.3	15.8	1.46	14.4	19.6	-5.23
Speedy Claxton	32	30	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.13	8	-5	13	16.3	17.2	-0.92	18.9	14.0	4.85
Mickael Pietrus	7	8	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	0	3	14.3	17.1	-2.84	20.9	15.1	5.74
Cherokee Parks	4	4	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	0	3	13.2	17.1	-3.82	15.0	15.7	-0.68
Clifford Robinson	53	54	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	6	-9	17.1	16.7	0.40	15.4	16.1	-0.76
Mike Dunleavy	56	57	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.14	-11	14	-25	17.4	16.0	1.41	14.8	17.2	-2.40

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	44	46	0.64	-1.14	1.78	0.23	14	-17	31	15.9	15.4	0.51	18.0	15.7	2.22
Trenton Hassell	48	50	0.43	-0.93	1.37	0.14	10	-13	23	15.7	15.6	0.03	17.1	16.7	0.38
Sam Cassell	71	72	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.46	11	-14	25	15.3	17.1	-1.83	17.1	15.9	1.25
Mark Madsen	21	20	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	9	-21	15.1	15.8	-0.67	14.8	17.5	-2.71
Keith McLeod	19	17	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	11	-25	16.6	15.4	1.25	14.9	17.4	-2.43
Kevin Garnett	77	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.47	3	-6	9	15.5	16.3	-0.79	17.3	14.4	2.87
Latrell Sprewell	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-1	-1	15.0	19.4	-4.37	17.3	14.8	2.41
Gary Trent	35	33	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.59	-11	8	-19	16.1	15.4	0.72	16.3	17.3	-0.95
Fred Hoiberg	54	51	-1.04	0.54	-1.57	-0.63	-14	11	-25	16.5	14.3	2.25	16.2	17.8	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.76,0.63,0.78,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 107, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.58,0	91.6%
SAC 89, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.58,0	91.2%
LAL 109, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.54,0.68,0.63,0	91.1%