NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	109		Excitement	8.7 [178]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +41.3%
Dallas Mavericks	106		Comeback	5.9 [165]		LVP	Devean George (LAL): -10.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.41	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.41	0.12	0.31	0.01	33	55%	0.46	2	-0.05	12	83%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.3,0.3	0.12	0.18	0.00	6	100%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08	-0.03	0.06	-0.05	4	42%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Chris Mihm	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	9	62%	0.15	3	-0.15	6	83%	0.02
Luke Walton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Brian Cook	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Devean George	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	10	35%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.15	-0.00	8	73%	0.29	0	0.00	10	100%	0.07
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.12	0.01	15	66%	0.24	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.06
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.07	0.01	13	57%	0.02	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.07
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	20	52%	0.07	4	-0.09	12	75%	-0.02
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.5	35.2	16.0	26.1	3.4	34.3	143.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +58.1%

DAL -8.2%

LAL +5.6%

DAL -0.7%

DAL -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.6	121.1	117.8	104.4
season	15.6	16.4		106.2	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.9	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	15.9	15.0	17.0	15.6
DAL	14.7	17.6	17.0	16.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	45	45	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.34	17	-14	31	16.2	15.0	1.20	17.4	15.4	2.00
Lamar Odom	73	74	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.64	2	1	1	14.8	19.1	-4.34	16.2	17.2	-1.03
Kwame Brown	48	45	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.14	17	-14	31	16.7	14.3	2.37	18.2	14.6	3.69
Smush Parker	49	50	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.67	-5	8	-13	15.7	15.4	0.30	15.5	17.5	-1.93
Kobe Bryant	82	81	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	4	-5	15.8	13.2	2.58	15.9	21.2	-5.36
Laron Profit	31	31	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	-4	11	15.2	15.8	-0.62	18.6	15.2	3.38
Sasha Vujacic	41	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.26	8	-5	13	15.4	15.7	-0.30	17.5	15.5	1.93
Luke Walton	13	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	7	-11	18.5	15.1	3.34	13.8	16.8	-2.99
Chris Mihm	34	36	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.11	-11	14	-25	14.5	16.3	-1.77	15.3	17.1	-1.82
Brian Cook	34	35	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.09	-15	18	-33	14.8	16.1	-1.25	14.5	17.6	-3.13

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ Mbenga	7	7	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.01	6	-9	15	9.4	17.0	-7.56	14.4	15.7	-1.27
Josh Howard	23	24	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-5	7	14.1	17.2	-3.11	15.1	15.8	-0.65
Josh Powell	6	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-1	-1	16.2	16.4	-0.25	14.5	15.7	-1.18
Erick Dampier	30	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-1	-1	16.7	16.3	0.40	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Keith Van Horn	8	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	4	-11	23.0	15.8	7.24	17.2	15.4	1.80
Devin Harris	40	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	1	-5	16.3	16.5	-0.18	16.0	15.2	0.82
Adrian Griffin	48	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	0	-3	18.0	14.5	3.47	15.9	15.3	0.66
Dirk Nowitzki	79	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.45	1	-4	5	16.3	17.4	-1.10	15.5	16.3	-0.77
Jason Terry	72	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.54	2	-5	7	15.7	19.1	-3.39	15.3	16.7	-1.37
Marquis Daniels	85	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.46	-1	-2	1	16.1	21.2	-5.08	15.6	15.9	-0.28
DeSagana Diop	52	53	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.32	-7	4	-11	17.4	15.0	2.38	16.1	14.9	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.54,0.68,0.63,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.72,0	92.1%
CHA 83, CHI 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.58,0	91.8%
CHA 110, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.46,0.31,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.66,0.42,0	91.3%