NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	85		Excitement	8.6 [136]		MVP	Robin Lopez (PHX): +43.9%
Phoenix Suns	84		Comeback	4.2 [146]		LVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): -20.7%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.40	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.4	0.04	0.37	0.01	18	51%	0.43	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.04
Chris Kaman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	8	62%	0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	11	42%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Jason Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carldell Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	15	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Greivis Vasquez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	59%	0.09	5	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.17	0.02	-0.19	0.00	11	54%	-0.09	1	-0.08	2	0%	-0.27

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.14	0.28	-0.03	12	70%	0.46	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	9	62%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	1	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	-0.00	10	64%	0.06	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	23%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	10	30%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.15	-0.00	5	58%	0.13	1	-0.26	2	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	8	12%	-0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.16	0.01	11	36%	-0.17	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.4	29.4	15.7	25.1	2.5	37.8	139.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +36.6%

PHX -17.7%

NOH +9.6%

NOH +23.7%

PHX -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHX	NBA	NOH	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	16.4	15.6	93.4	96.6	102.8
season	16.3	15.0		99.2	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.7		104.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.5	15.8	14.7	18.4	16.0
PHX	14.4	18.5	14.7	18.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	73	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.47	7	-6	13	16.4	14.5	1.86	16.3	16.8	-0.53
Trevor Ariza	63	60	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.52	4	-3	7	16.7	14.4	2.25	16.4	16.4	-0.04
Carl Landry	62	57	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.57	-1	2	-3	17.2	13.5	3.68	16.4	16.3	0.07
Emeka Okafor	53	48	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.51	-1	2	-3	16.5	15.3	1.16	14.9	18.2	-3.36
Marco Belinelli	56	54	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.51	-9	10	-19	16.9	14.5	2.44	16.3	16.5	-0.22
Carldell Johnson	4	3	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	-2	5	20.0	15.8	4.20	20.3	16.2	4.10
Chris Kaman	36	36	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	-3	7	15.9	16.1	-0.21	18.6	14.8	3.76
Greivis Vasquez	54	52	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.06	1	0	1	14.1	18.8	-4.66	16.3	16.5	-0.13
Jason Smith	31	33	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.08	0	1	-1	13.0	17.5	-4.58	16.1	16.5	-0.42
Al-Farouq Aminu	23	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	4	-7	14.4	16.5	-2.14	16.5	16.3	0.19

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	43	45	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-6	11	14.7	18.0	-3.37	16.7	15.3	1.38
Shannon Brown	38	40	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	1	-3	16.6	16.2	0.40	14.8	16.9	-2.03
Marcin Gortat	37	41	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.00	1	-2	3	15.2	17.3	-2.07	17.4	14.9	2.51
Sebastian Telfair	14	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	1	-3	16.8	16.3	0.48	14.6	16.2	-1.68
Ronnie Price	20	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	3	-7	17.0	16.2	0.81	15.0	16.3	-1.35
Josh Childress	31	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	6	-13	17.2	15.9	1.26	15.9	16.1	-0.22
Grant Hill	41	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.55	6	-7	13	16.0	16.7	-0.72	17.1	15.0	2.11
Steve Nash	53	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.53	5	-6	11	16.0	16.9	-0.87	16.7	14.8	1.93
Jared Dudley	64	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.53	1	-2	3	16.1	17.2	-1.08	16.0	15.9	0.15
Robin Lopez	50	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.47	-2	1	-3	17.3	15.2	2.07	14.9	17.4	-2.51
Markieff Morris	44	46	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.44	-6	5	-11	18.0	14.7	3.37	15.3	16.7	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 83, CHI 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.58,0	92.2%
LAL 109, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.54,0.68,0.63,0	92.1%
GSW 118, CLE 113	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.89,0.83,0	92.0%