NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	107		Excitement	9.6 [74]		MVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): +25.7%
Washington Wizards	105		Comeback	7.5 [153]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (CHH): -7.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.23	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.12	-0.02	15	70%	0.29	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.11
Anthony Mason	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21	-0.00	0.22	0.00	13	58%	0.27	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,0.2	-0.14	0.33	-0.02	12	41%	0.25	2	-0.05	13	54%	-0.06
Brad Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.00	17	55%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Baron Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	17	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.26	0.26	0.05	0.22	0.01	13	62%	0.28	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.24
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.08	-0.00	6	67%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.01	10	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	14	50%	0.11	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Jahidi White	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.19,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.11	0.00	12	63%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.22
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	27.2	15.6	24.5	1.8	39.4	135.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +33.9%

WAS -24.1%

CHH +45.9%

WAS -10.7%

CHH +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	WAS	NBA	CHH	WAS	NBA
this game	16.3	15.2	15.2	117.6	114.1	101.7
season	14.9	15.5		101.5	101.1
opponent	14.8	15.1		104.4	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.6	14.8	16.0	20.4	16.3
WAS	15.4	14.0	16.0	15.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	77	79	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.55	11	-9	20	15.7	19.4	-3.64	15.6	12.8	2.84
Eddie Jones	82	82	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.47	3	-1	4	16.2	17.3	-1.17	15.3	14.2	1.13
Derrick Coleman	82	83	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.47	2	0	2	15.7	21.4	-5.74	15.2	14.9	0.35
Anthony Mason	84	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	0	2	16.4	14.9	1.54	15.4	12.9	2.54
Elden Campbell	63	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.52	-3	5	-8	16.8	15.1	1.63	15.0	15.8	-0.83
Brad Miller	25	25	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	-6	14	15.6	16.5	-0.88	15.5	15.1	0.38
Eddie Robinson	19	19	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.16	-3	5	-8	17.4	16.0	1.38	14.7	15.3	-0.66
Baron Davis	23	23	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.13	-10	12	-22	18.6	15.5	3.07	13.4	15.8	-2.42

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	28	29	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.04	5	-7	12	15.9	14.9	0.99	16.2	16.3	-0.10
Tracy Murray	29	28	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-6	10	15.7	15.0	0.71	18.2	15.4	2.85
Calvin Booth	18	19	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-6	10	12.9	15.8	-2.81	13.5	17.0	-3.54
Don Reid	39	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.16	-7	5	-12	15.7	14.8	0.84	16.5	16.1	0.31
Chris Whitney	57	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	4	-10	15.4	14.9	0.52	14.9	18.6	-3.74
Mitch Richmond	73	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.37	6	-8	14	15.7	13.5	2.18	16.9	13.9	2.97
Juwan Howard	81	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.46	-2	0	-2	15.5	13.1	2.40	16.3	16.0	0.31
Aaron Williams	24	22	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	3	-8	12.2	16.3	-4.11	17.8	15.8	2.04
Richard Hamilton	54	52	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.50	-4	2	-6	14.4	16.4	-1.98	17.0	15.3	1.65
Gerard King	57	57	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.60	-5	3	-8	15.9	14.1	1.76	15.5	17.6	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 98, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.76,0.63,0.78,0.59,0	91.6%
MIA 77, CLE 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.57,0.72,0	91.0%
CHA 112, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.58,0	91.0%