NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	89		Excitement	8.7 [174]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (SAC): +13.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	83		Comeback	5.8 [134]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -35.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.14	-0.06	0.20	-0.00	12	56%	0.24	4	-0.10	10	70%	-0.06
Darius Songaila	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Peja Stojakovic	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	15	57%	0.08	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.09,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	19	52%	0.00	2	-0.14	6	67%	-0.07
Brad Miller	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.10	-0.01	11	18%	-0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.07	0.00	3	78%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	22	50%	0.07	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	48%	0.04	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	8	25%	-0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24	-0.24	-0.10	-0.15	-0.01	20	40%	-0.13	2	-0.11	5	80%	0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.35	-0.35	-0.20	-0.16	-0.01	17	24%	-0.33	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.0	27.3	15.7	28.2	2.7	35.0	136.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +98.3%

LAC -25.9%

LAC -3.8%

LAC -10.1%

LAC -8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	13.5	17.0	15.5	92.7	89.2	104.0
season	14.7	16.0		108.1	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.8	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.0	15.3	12.6	14.2	13.5
LAC	17.0	16.0	18.7	16.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	75	75	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-8	22	12.8	16.0	-3.26	17.2	16.4	0.73
Mike Bibby	79	75	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.39	13	-7	20	13.3	14.5	-1.18	17.4	15.6	1.83
Chris Webber	79	76	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.31	14	-8	22	12.7	17.4	-4.68	17.4	15.5	1.84
Peja Stojakovic	78	74	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.34	11	-5	16	13.3	14.4	-1.09	17.1	16.9	0.11
Brad Miller	80	78	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.25	3	3	0	13.4	14.1	-0.75	16.3	20.6	-4.25
Greg Ostertag	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	7	-8	16.9	13.1	3.85	18.5	16.9	1.64
Darius Songaila	22	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	10	-14	15.2	13.0	2.24	17.6	16.8	0.79
Eddie House	17	18	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.07	-7	13	-20	14.5	13.3	1.18	15.6	17.4	-1.83
Maurice Evans	39	37	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.07	-13	19	-32	15.3	12.3	3.00	16.7	17.2	-0.55

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	55	58	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.16	16	-22	38	15.8	18.9	-3.10	15.0	11.2	3.83
Zeljko Rebraca	34	35	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.03	6	-12	18	17.4	16.8	0.55	14.8	12.8	2.05
Quinton Ross	32	31	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-6	6	18.0	16.5	1.52	14.5	13.0	1.41
Kerry Kittles	21	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.07	-10	4	-14	18.5	16.6	1.87	12.1	13.9	-1.83
Darrick Martin	50	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-5	4	16.7	17.4	-0.72	14.1	12.8	1.28
Rick Brunson	48	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	4	-14	17.5	16.5	1.05	12.8	14.2	-1.46
Elton Brand	80	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.39	-2	-4	2	16.6	19.5	-2.91	13.5	13.5	0.00
Corey Maggette	73	76	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.34	-13	7	-20	17.0	17.0	-0.02	12.4	17.6	-5.18
Chris Kaman	72	77	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.28	-16	10	-26	17.3	16.0	1.27	12.9	15.9	-2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 98, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.76,0.63,0.78,0.59,0	91.2%
SAC 110, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.43,0.58,0	90.8%
BOS 86, CLE 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.37,0.32,0.73,0	90.2%