NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	8.5 [146]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +27.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	83		Comeback	2.7 [419]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -34.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.28	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.28	0.16	0.14	0.03	13	79%	0.31	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.01	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	11	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.06
Greg Stiemsma	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.13,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	0.11	6	-0.23	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.35,-0.35	-0.20	-0.16	-0.02	6	0%	-0.23	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	9	59%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.04
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Semih Erden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.27,0	0.00	0.13	-0.12	0.00	14	73%	0.17	2	-0.17	5	100%	0.09
Manny Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.08	-0.02	15	27%	-0.15	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	4	10%	-0.13	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	30.5	15.6	24.2	2.4	37.3	136.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +54.4%

CLE -7.7%

BOS +12.5%

CLE -3.4%

CLE -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	15.6	15.6	93.5	89.2	102.8
season	15.5	15.5		99.4	99.5
opponent	15.6	16.2		107.1	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.0	13.8	16.8	16.9	15.6
CLE	16.3	14.4	15.2	16.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	32	31	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-11	25	14.8	15.9	-1.09	15.9	15.4	0.53
Rajon Rondo	63	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	-4	11	14.9	16.9	-1.96	15.6	15.5	0.17
Ray Allen	67	70	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	-3	9	14.8	17.6	-2.75	15.8	15.0	0.71
Kevin Garnett	60	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	6	-9	15.9	14.9	0.99	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Chris Wilcox	43	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	-5	13	16.1	15.1	1.01	17.3	14.2	3.07
Paul Pierce	68	68	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.51	-11	14	-25	16.2	13.8	2.33	14.5	18.4	-3.91
Brandon Bass	69	69	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	2	-1	15.5	15.7	-0.19	15.4	16.1	-0.73
Keyon Dooling	22	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	4	-5	16.1	15.4	0.76	15.8	15.5	0.34
Avery Bradley	29	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	7	-11	16.9	14.9	1.96	15.5	15.6	-0.17
Greg Stiemsma	7	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	5	-7	12.4	15.8	-3.38	15.3	15.6	-0.27

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	43	44	0.09	-0.58	0.67	0.06	1	-4	5	15.2	15.9	-0.73	15.7	15.4	0.37
Manny Harris	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-3	3	0.0	15.6	-15.58	6.0	15.7	-9.66
Semih Erden	41	38	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	0	-3	15.9	15.3	0.58	15.0	16.0	-0.99
Samardo Samuels	21	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-6	9	16.0	15.5	0.48	17.1	15.1	2.02
Daniel Gibson	52	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.25	3	-6	9	15.3	16.0	-0.66	14.4	17.2	-2.82
Ramon Sessions	40	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	1	-5	15.9	15.3	0.65	14.6	16.3	-1.75
Kyrie Irving	53	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-4	5	15.3	15.9	-0.65	16.1	14.8	1.33
Anthony Parker	42	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	3	-9	15.6	15.5	0.07	16.8	14.6	2.16
Antawn Jamison	72	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	3	-9	15.5	16.0	-0.48	15.2	16.6	-1.41
Tristan Thompson	50	51	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.50	0	-3	3	15.9	15.3	0.60	16.3	14.6	1.70
Alonzo Gee	51	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.45	-4	1	-5	15.6	15.5	0.15	15.5	15.6	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.37,0.32,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 89, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.58,0	90.2%
TOR 93, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.45,0.24,0.47,0	90.1%
PHI 104, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.23,0.42,0	90.1%