NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	99		Excitement	7.2 [363]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): +18.2%
Golden State Warriors	105		Comeback	2.2 [694]		LVP	Elden Campbell (SEA): -19.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.11,0.12	0.14	0.03	0.06	11	82%	0.16	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.05	-0.04	21	48%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	87%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	0.02	-0.10	0.02	17	51%	-0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	3	67%	0.04	4	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.11	0.01	21	61%	0.23	1	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.00	13	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.07	-0.03	19	56%	0.14	3	-0.03	7	71%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	69%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.10	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	7	25%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	12	39%	-0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	23.7	16.4	25.6	2.4	30.6	122.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +35.7%

GSW +0.9%

SEA -6.4%

GSW +16.7%

GSW +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	17.2	14.7	15.5	110.0	115.4	101.6
season	16.5	14.6		101.7	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.9	16.2	19.3	15.5	17.2
GSW	13.4	13.8	15.0	16.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	44	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.22	7	-13	20	17.1	17.3	-0.21	15.1	14.3	0.84
Reggie Evans	36	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-7	8	18.3	16.4	1.93	13.9	15.2	-1.33
Calvin Booth	14	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-3	0	14.9	17.6	-2.75	11.2	15.2	-4.00
Jerome James	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-1	-4	21.0	16.9	4.10	14.7	14.7	0.01
Elden Campbell	19	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.18	-1	-5	4	18.1	16.9	1.18	16.2	14.2	1.97
Brent Barry	79	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-9	12	17.1	17.6	-0.52	14.9	13.1	1.82
Ray Allen	74	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-2	-2	17.5	15.7	1.74	14.3	16.5	-2.23
Vladimir Radmanovic	57	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	4	-14	16.1	19.1	-2.97	15.3	13.6	1.69
Rashard Lewis	77	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.44	-5	-1	-4	17.5	15.3	2.19	14.8	13.7	1.05
Kevin Ollie	44	45	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.21	-13	7	-20	16.6	17.7	-1.10	14.4	14.9	-0.56

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	63	62	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-8	22	15.2	13.4	1.83	16.4	18.9	-2.49
Jason Richardson	81	82	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-4	14	14.0	19.6	-5.55	17.3	15.5	1.84
Adonal Foyle	44	44	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-5	16	15.8	13.6	2.24	16.3	18.0	-1.73
Antawn Jamison	81	81	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	2	2	14.6	15.2	-0.61	17.2	17.0	0.20
Gilbert Arenas	72	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	3	0	14.7	14.4	0.30	18.0	14.2	3.83
Earl Boykins	31	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	1	4	15.0	14.5	0.52	15.0	18.3	-3.27
Erick Dampier	44	43	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	10	-14	14.2	15.1	-0.92	19.0	15.6	3.40
Mike Dunleavy	39	37	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.01	-13	19	-32	14.0	15.2	-1.15	17.3	17.1	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 92, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.84,0.84,0.91,1,1	93.0%
UTA 97, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	92.7%
CHA 92, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.89,0.78,0.95,0.96,1	92.6%