NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	92		Excitement	6.6 [476]		MVP	Royal Ivey (PHI): +21.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	100		Comeback	3.2 [518]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -12.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.03	11	81%	0.21	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	12	46%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	18	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.08
Jeff Adrien	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Kemba Walker	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	14	50%	0.11	4	-0.17	4	100%	0.04
Ben Gordon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.11	0.00	6	92%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	0.01	12	73%	0.22	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.07	0.02	14	65%	0.19	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	-0.00	-0.02	10	60%	0.09	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.01	10	65%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.16	0.02	-0.02	17	35%	-0.03	4	-0.09	6	33%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	27.4	15.8	34.8	2.5	34.6	141.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +26.9%

PHI +0.8%

PHI +3.9%

PHI +16.0%

PHI +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.8	15.5	15.4	103.4	112.4	104.1
season	15.6	15.5		99.9	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.7	19.3	16.8	15.8	16.8
PHI	14.3	15.7	18.3	14.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	32	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	-1	-6	16.7	16.9	-0.26	14.3	16.3	-1.96
Jeff Adrien	23	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-1	-6	19.5	15.9	3.58	15.4	15.6	-0.14
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	64	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-10	12	16.3	18.1	-1.75	16.4	13.5	2.83
Ben Gordon	27	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	3	-14	20.1	15.4	4.72	14.5	16.0	-1.47
Josh McRoberts	76	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-6	4	16.4	19.2	-2.73	15.6	15.2	0.45
Kemba Walker	70	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-8	8	16.6	17.7	-1.17	15.8	14.4	1.37
Bismack Biyombo	79	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	16.4	19.9	-3.47	15.5	15.8	-0.29
Gerald Henderson	74	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	0	-8	16.4	19.1	-2.78	15.5	15.9	-0.38

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	63	63	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.28	15	-7	22	15.8	14.9	0.87	17.0	16.5	0.51
Thaddeus Young	73	70	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.34	10	-2	12	15.5	15.6	-0.10	17.2	15.3	1.91
Jrue Holiday	77	77	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	4	0	15.5	15.7	-0.24	16.6	18.2	-1.56
Damien Wilkins	67	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	8	-8	15.5	15.5	-0.01	16.4	18.0	-1.51
Royal Ivey	41	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	-8	24	14.1	16.7	-2.63	18.5	15.3	3.23
Evan Turner	63	61	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	11	-14	15.9	14.6	1.36	15.4	19.9	-4.54
Dorell Wright	35	37	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.17	6	2	4	15.8	15.4	0.43	17.2	16.6	0.59
Lavoy Allen	26	27	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.01	-8	16	-24	16.0	15.3	0.65	17.0	16.7	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.89,0.78,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 85, VAN 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.95,1,1,1	93.1%
NOK 82, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.8%
SEA 99, GSW 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.98,1	92.6%