NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	82		Excitement	6.8 [472]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +20.8%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	3.1 [735]		LVP	David West (NOK): -25.4%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	4	83%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Linton Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0.02	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	69%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Speedy Claxton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Aaron Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Marc Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.04	10	17%	-0.11	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
David West	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.12	-0.12	0.01	14	34%	-0.16	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.11	0.03	15	69%	0.25	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	9	73%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.02	0.02	15	47%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Luke Schenscher	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.01	13	47%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	31%	-0.06	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.02	0.04	9	56%	-0.01	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	26.4	15.7	31.2	2.5	27.2	131.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +50.8%

NOK -3.4%

CHI +4.4%

NOK -6.5%

CHI +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	CHI	NBA	NOK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.6	89.1	103.2	104.4
season	16.3	14.4		101.2	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.3		102.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	13.7	19.3	13.8	17.8	15.9
CHI	15.1	15.0	15.0	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	28	28	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-13	12	16.2	15.8	0.37	15.4	15.1	0.31
Linton Johnson	46	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.21	6	-20	26	15.1	16.7	-1.63	15.6	14.8	0.86
Aaron Williams	42	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-13	12	15.8	16.1	-0.30	15.0	15.4	-0.39
Marc Jackson	14	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-7	0	16.6	15.8	0.76	12.9	15.6	-2.78
Speedy Claxton	58	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-8	2	15.6	16.5	-0.91	14.6	16.3	-1.65
Rasual Butler	70	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-9	4	15.1	18.6	-3.56	15.2	15.2	-0.02
P.J. Brown	51	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	1	-16	15.9	16.0	-0.05	15.5	14.9	0.65
Chris Paul	75	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-5	-4	15.2	19.1	-3.92	15.1	15.7	-0.60
J.R. Smith	28	28	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.05	-17	3	-20	19.0	14.6	4.47	14.8	15.4	-0.56
David West	48	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	1	-16	17.5	14.2	3.30	16.4	14.0	2.44

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	63	61	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.11	26	-12	38	13.8	18.1	-4.31	16.5	14.9	1.59
Tyson Chandler	67	66	0.79	-0.29	1.07	-0.00	27	-13	40	14.6	16.8	-2.21	16.4	14.7	1.77
Kirk Hinrich	59	57	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.07	13	1	12	15.5	14.7	0.85	16.2	15.4	0.80
Othella Harrington	43	43	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	-4	22	15.1	15.3	-0.14	16.6	15.3	1.28
Luol Deng	82	81	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.17	7	7	0	15.5	13.4	2.10	15.5	18.8	-3.29
Michael Sweetney	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	9	-4	15.8	14.8	1.02	16.2	15.8	0.40
Andres Nocioni	33	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.00	-2	16	-18	15.6	15.0	0.61	16.4	15.7	0.73
Luke Schenscher	7	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.07	-6	20	-26	15.6	15.2	0.39	13.8	16.1	-2.24
Jannero Pargo	7	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	18	-22	17.6	15.0	2.55	15.3	16.0	-0.69
Chris Duhon	66	67	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.10	-14	28	-42	15.8	13.8	2.03	14.6	19.4	-4.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 81, LAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.88,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.0%
CHA 92, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.89,0.78,0.95,0.96,1	92.8%
MEM 128, WAS 135	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.63,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.91,1	92.1%