NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	90		Excitement	7.7 [288]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): +25.5%
Golden State Warriors	92		Comeback	2.3 [502]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (DET): -26.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	25	53%	0.12	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.04
Hubert Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.14,-0.01	0.10	-0.11	0.01	17	69%	0.05	2	-0.06	14	100%	0.12
Clifford Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	13	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Ben Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	5	60%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.17	-0.11	-0.01	11	17%	-0.19	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.17	-0.02	15	59%	0.26	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	18	59%	0.11	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.04
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	13	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.25	-0.25	-0.17	-0.09	-0.01	11	29%	-0.16	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.1	1.7	28.4	16.6	26.2	2.4	32.7	128.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +39.2%

DET -4.2%

GSW +7.9%

GSW +8.6%

DET -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	GSW	NBA	DET	GSW	NBA
this game	18.1	15.8	15.5	107.1	107.0	101.6
season	16.8	14.6		101.7	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.8	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	19.1	18.1	19.2	15.9	18.1
GSW	16.1	16.1	13.5	17.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	19	18	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.10	6	-8	14	16.9	18.4	-1.47	18.3	15.2	3.10
Corliss Williamson	43	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.27	9	-11	20	18.1	18.0	0.07	14.5	17.2	-2.71
Mehmet Okur	35	38	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-5	8	18.3	17.9	0.35	14.4	16.9	-2.47
Hubert Davis	21	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-4	6	18.8	17.8	0.97	12.4	16.9	-4.49
Michael Curry	34	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	11	-24	19.4	17.2	2.13	16.2	15.6	0.68
Clifford Robinson	59	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-2	2	17.7	19.0	-1.36	17.1	13.1	3.90
Chauncey Billups	63	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.44	-4	2	-6	17.8	18.8	-0.97	16.7	13.0	3.68
Richard Hamilton	72	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	4	-10	17.8	20.0	-2.24	16.0	14.5	1.57
Ben Wallace	74	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.38	-7	5	-12	18.3	16.4	1.91	15.6	17.6	-2.08

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	75	74	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-6	14	15.4	19.0	-3.64	18.4	15.6	2.82
Jason Richardson	64	62	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-6	14	15.4	17.0	-1.52	18.2	17.8	0.42
Antawn Jamison	75	73	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	-4	10	16.3	12.8	3.45	17.7	20.7	-3.04
Adonal Foyle	40	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.50	-6	8	-14	16.2	15.5	0.75	16.9	19.1	-2.17
Gilbert Arenas	60	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	0	2	15.5	16.5	-0.91	18.5	17.0	1.52
Erick Dampier	47	47	0.21	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	-6	14	15.2	16.6	-1.40	19.1	16.8	2.37
Earl Boykins	25	24	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	2	-2	17.1	15.3	1.77	17.0	18.5	-1.52
Bob Sura	23	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.25	-6	8	-14	16.3	15.7	0.59	17.8	18.2	-0.42
Mike Dunleavy	10	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	6	-10	13.9	16.1	-2.18	20.6	17.7	2.86
Chris Mills	11	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	8	-14	19.0	15.4	3.64	15.6	18.4	-2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.53,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 85, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.75,0.93,0.89,0.98,1	92.8%
CHI 82, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.84,1	92.4%
LAL 80, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.38,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.73,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.4%