NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	82		Excitement	7.1 [318]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): +15.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	2.1 [539]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -15.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	56%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	18	40%	0.09	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.07
Jimmy Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.03	11	48%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
John Lucas III	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	9	37%	-0.06	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.14	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	24	47%	0.03	5	-0.17	1	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.05	0.04	11	85%	0.22	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.11	0.11	-0.09	0.18	-0.02	23	40%	0.18	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	4	67%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Lavoy Allen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	1	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	12	30%	-0.09	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	3.0	34.0	15.8	29.0	2.8	45.0	157.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +26.3%

PHI +3.2%

CHI -2.0%

PHI +23.2%

CHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	15.3	15.6	90.1	96.7	102.8
season	16.0	15.6		104.7	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.9		97.6	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.3	14.1	18.0	15.2	16.2
PHI	12.7	17.2	15.4	16.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Lucas III	26	27	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-12	17	15.2	16.6	-1.40	17.4	14.5	2.95
Jimmy Butler	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-4	1	5.0	16.3	-11.28	0.0	15.3	-15.33
Ronnie Brewer	32	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-8	9	14.8	16.9	-2.02	17.0	14.4	2.52
Omer Asik	44	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.12	-10	3	-13	17.5	14.9	2.65	15.0	15.5	-0.50
Richard Hamilton	48	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	2	-11	17.2	15.0	2.23	13.2	17.6	-4.34
Kyle Korver	40	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.36	4	-11	15	14.9	17.1	-2.19	16.2	14.6	1.66
Carlos Boozer	77	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-5	3	15.9	17.6	-1.76	15.6	13.3	2.29
Taj Gibson	59	60	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.44	-1	-6	5	15.8	16.8	-1.02	15.7	14.5	1.22
Luol Deng	63	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	1	-9	16.7	15.0	1.72	14.9	16.4	-1.48
CJ Watson	65	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.24	-12	5	-17	16.6	15.2	1.40	14.5	17.4	-2.95

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	83	81	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.28	11	-4	15	15.2	16.8	-1.61	16.3	15.1	1.18
Jrue Holiday	80	78	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-3	13	14.8	18.8	-4.03	16.3	15.4	0.90
Spencer Hawes	67	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-2	11	15.6	14.7	0.89	17.1	13.6	3.47
Thaddeus Young	38	38	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	3	1	13.8	16.4	-2.53	15.5	16.6	-1.08
Louis Williams	47	48	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	6	-5	15.8	14.8	1.03	16.1	16.2	-0.11
Elton Brand	70	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	9	-11	16.1	13.0	3.12	16.3	15.6	0.72
Evan Turner	54	53	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	3	1	15.1	15.6	-0.48	16.0	16.4	-0.37
Jodie Meeks	15	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	6	-5	15.6	15.3	0.33	13.1	16.9	-3.73
Lavoy Allen	6	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	10	-13	19.7	15.0	4.64	14.7	16.3	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.83,1	93.8%
CHI 102, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.0%
BKN 96, NOP 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	92.8%