NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	80		Excitement	5.9 [638]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +18.3%
Utah Jazz	90		Comeback	2.7 [740]		LVP	Luke Walton (LAL): -18.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.03	17	68%	0.14	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Devean George	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.05	0.06	-0.05	10	35%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kwame Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Von Wafer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Smush Parker	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	9	28%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	7	31%	-0.07	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	7	70%	0.23	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.05	-0.03	18	48%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.02	15	59%	0.17	4	-0.10	2	50%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Whaley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	4	60%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	0.00	10	45%	0.05	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	26.2	15.8	26.2	2.5	27.3	127.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.0%

UTA +0.1%

UTA +4.6%

UTA +0.6%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	18.0	15.6	93.0	104.7	104.4
season	15.6	17.0		106.2	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		104.6	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	14.0	16.8	15.4	15.5
UTA	19.2	16.5	20.1	16.6	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	25	27	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-10	10	16.0	15.2	0.79	19.3	17.4	1.82
Von Wafer	30	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-8	6	14.7	15.9	-1.19	18.0	18.0	-0.07
Brian Cook	27	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-5	0	15.6	15.4	0.17	19.6	17.3	2.30
Kwame Brown	45	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-7	4	15.8	15.1	0.68	18.0	18.0	0.02
Sasha Vujacic	46	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.28	1	-11	12	13.8	17.4	-3.69	16.7	19.4	-2.68
Devean George	58	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-3	-4	15.9	14.6	1.24	19.2	15.6	3.61
Luke Walton	61	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	0	-10	15.4	15.6	-0.17	16.5	21.5	-5.00
Smush Parker	66	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	2	-14	15.9	14.0	1.86	18.2	17.4	0.83
Lamar Odom	72	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	2	-14	15.8	13.9	1.85	17.9	18.6	-0.71

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	73	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-4	18	18.0	18.3	-0.35	16.2	11.2	4.91
Matt Harpring	53	52	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	4	2	16.9	19.8	-2.88	14.3	17.2	-2.86
Deron Williams	48	47	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	4	2	17.1	19.2	-2.15	14.6	16.6	-1.99
Gordan Giricek	42	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-3	16	19.1	17.0	2.07	16.7	14.3	2.40
Mehmet Okur	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	5	0	18.2	17.2	1.03	15.3	16.3	-1.01
Devin Brown	32	32	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	7	-4	17.1	18.5	-1.41	14.5	16.0	-1.51
Jarron Collins	32	32	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	1	8	19.8	16.9	2.87	17.1	14.5	2.58
Keith McLeod	38	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	6	-2	19.2	17.1	2.15	16.6	14.6	1.99
Robert Whaley	13	13	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	9	-8	16.5	18.3	-1.83	13.5	15.8	-2.37
Greg Ostertag	14	14	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	11	-12	18.9	17.8	1.10	17.2	15.1	2.08
Kris Humphries	6	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	14	-18	17.5	18.0	-0.55	11.0	15.8	-4.81
Milt Palacio	12	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	16	-22	16.7	18.2	-1.56	13.5	15.8	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.38,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.73,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 114, WAS 124	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	93.8%
GSW 90, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	92.8%
DET 75, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.6%