NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	114		Excitement	7.1 [455]		MVP	Nikola Mirotic (NOP): +33.0%
Washington Wizards	124		Comeback	2.8 [490]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -13.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0.33	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.20	0.13	0.00	12	83%	0.33	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Julius Randle	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.08	0.08	16	69%	0.20	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Darius Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	14	63%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Ian Clark	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	9	25%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	18	42%	-0.03	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.12	0.02	11	78%	0.25	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.25	0.02	0.06	15	88%	0.24	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	12	58%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	5	40%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	16	52%	0.06	5	-0.11	10	50%	-0.05
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	15	49%	-0.04	2	-0.06	7	43%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.7	27.0	15.5	26.8	1.8	29.5	125.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +39.8%

NOP -11.1%

WAS +17.3%

WAS +6.1%

NOP -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	WAS	NBA	NOP	WAS	NBA
this game	12.8	13.4	14.3	103.6	112.7	109.3
season	13.4	13.8		110.2	109.8
opponent	14.3	14.2		112.4	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.6	12.2	12.7	13.9	12.8
WAS	14.0	14.0	10.5	15.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Clark	20	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	13.9	12.6	1.38	14.8	13.1	1.76
Wesley Johnson	34	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-8	6	12.6	12.9	-0.25	11.2	14.3	-3.07
Jrue Holiday	85	86	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.06	-5	-5	0	12.1	15.3	-3.19	13.0	14.6	-1.56
Cheick Diallo	40	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-3	-4	13.4	12.5	0.87	13.2	13.5	-0.30
Julius Randle	89	87	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-6	2	12.9	12.6	0.30	13.4	13.2	0.24
Frank Jackson	44	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-7	4	14.1	12.0	2.08	13.8	13.1	0.72
Darius Miller	67	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-3	-4	13.1	12.3	0.85	14.1	12.2	1.93
Nikola Mirotic	91	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	-1	-8	12.5	14.3	-1.75	13.4	13.2	0.22
E'Twaun Moore	80	80	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	4	-18	12.4	13.9	-1.49	13.4	13.2	0.18

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	104	103	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.19	12	-2	14	13.1	18.2	-5.08	12.9	12.1	0.72
John Wall	81	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-3	16	12.8	15.0	-2.22	12.3	14.5	-2.20
Otto Porter Jr.	76	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-5	20	12.6	15.1	-2.58	12.0	14.7	-2.73
Austin Rivers	55	56	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.26	0	10	-10	15.1	11.6	3.53	13.7	11.9	1.79
Markieff Morris	57	58	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.26	-1	11	-12	15.0	11.6	3.32	13.7	11.9	1.77
Thomas Bryant	43	42	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	2	6	11.3	14.7	-3.38	12.4	13.1	-0.75
Tomas Satoransky	32	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	10	-10	15.2	12.6	2.57	14.7	12.1	2.54
Kelly Oubre Jr.	57	58	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	4	2	11.7	15.1	-3.38	11.8	14.0	-2.20
Jeff Green	45	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	13	-16	15.0	12.3	2.69	13.5	12.4	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 80, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.38,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.73,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.8%
DET 75, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.7%
CHA 93, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	92.7%