NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	3.1 [1144]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +2.7%
Denver Nuggets	66		Comeback	1.1 [1172]		LVP	Chris Andersen (DEN): -12.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	16	56%	0.03	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.06	-0.04	4	58%	0.08	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.08
Kenyon Martin	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	8	65%	0.06	4	-0.05	10	70%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	18	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	10	62%	-0.02	5	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	4	10%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	89%	0.00	3	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Vincent Yarbrough	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	10	54%	0.03	6	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Junior Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	3	14%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	33%	-0.05	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	5	57%	-0.03	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	4	31%	-0.04	4	-0.08	5	40%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	32.2	15.7	31.2	2.6	32.2	140.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +13.4%

NJN +14.4%

NJN +5.9%

NJN +21.3%

DEN -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DEN	NBA	NJN	DEN	NBA
this game	14.4	15.6	15.5	94.8	69.5	101.6
season	15.0	15.7		101.1	90.4
opponent	15.3	15.9		99.4	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.0	14.5	13.5	15.7	14.4
DEN	19.7	13.2	14.8	15.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	78	77	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.24	22	4	18	15.0	12.0	2.96	15.2	17.4	-2.17
Jason Kidd	56	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	9	8	15.0	13.5	1.46	15.0	16.5	-1.46
Kenyon Martin	69	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	11	4	15.1	12.6	2.49	16.2	14.2	1.96
Lucious Harris	65	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	12	2	14.6	13.9	0.76	16.3	14.2	2.18
Jason Collins	39	38	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.19	17	9	8	17.2	12.5	4.72	16.7	14.9	1.84
Anthony Johnson	55	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.24	17	9	8	13.5	15.6	-2.14	15.5	15.8	-0.38
Brian Scalabrine	51	50	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	13	0	12.9	16.1	-3.20	14.9	16.5	-1.63
Aaron Williams	49	49	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.10	3	23	-20	12.0	16.8	-4.73	15.2	16.1	-0.88
Tamar Slay	16	15	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	22	-18	14.2	14.4	-0.16	16.2	15.5	0.67
Brandon Armstrong	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	18	-10	12.9	14.5	-1.64	15.5	15.6	-0.14

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney White	28	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.20	-9	-17	8	13.4	16.6	-3.22	14.1	14.5	-0.35
Juwan Howard	25	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-19	12	16.3	15.4	0.93	14.0	14.5	-0.48
Donnell Harvey	56	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	-14	2	14.8	16.8	-1.97	15.2	13.1	2.10
Chris Whitney	39	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-26	26	15.6	15.7	-0.07	14.5	14.3	0.20
Ryan Bowen	18	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-21	16	15.1	15.8	-0.64	16.6	14.0	2.61
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	54	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.24	-15	-11	-4	15.7	15.5	0.17	13.2	15.9	-2.68
Mark Blount	33	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-18	10	16.0	15.5	0.52	14.5	14.3	0.20
Nene	50	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.19	-14	-12	-2	15.8	15.5	0.27	14.7	14.1	0.60
Chris Andersen	39	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-12	-2	16.8	14.8	1.97	13.1	15.2	-2.10
Junior Harrington	52	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.20	-20	-6	-14	15.4	16.0	-0.59	14.2	14.6	-0.34
Vincent Yarbrough	81	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.33	-26	0	-26	16.2	12.1	4.18	14.7	12.3	2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 115, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
HOU 125, UTA 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
IND 99, WAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%