NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	3.3 [1095]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +6.1%
Washington Wizards	81		Comeback	1.0 [458]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -14.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	17	56%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	14	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	83%	0.07	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Etdrick Bohannon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Mullin	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	8	75%	0.03	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	36%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Terry Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	19	51%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.16	0.00	-0.04	18	41%	-0.06	4	-0.06	10	70%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.18	-0.01	-0.04	13	41%	-0.03	7	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	25.3	14.8	26.1	2.3	27.3	121.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +44.8%

WAS -2.5%

WAS -0.5%

IND +7.7%

IND +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	15.1	16.2	15.6	107.6	88.0	102.5
season	16.0	15.1		105.3	102.8
opponent	15.6	16.1		102.2	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.1	15.1	16.3	17.5	15.1
WAS	17.2	14.9	15.7	16.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	73	74	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.10	20	-2	22	15.4	14.3	1.11	16.7	13.9	2.76
Derrick McKey	64	64	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.19	21	-3	24	15.3	14.9	0.41	16.2	16.1	0.13
Travis Best	34	35	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.08	9	9	0	15.0	15.2	-0.27	15.7	16.4	-0.72
Jalen Rose	36	35	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	7	4	15.2	15.1	0.04	16.1	16.2	-0.17
Fred Hoiberg	21	22	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	6	6	15.2	15.1	0.13	16.2	16.2	0.02
Reggie Miller	71	70	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.00	6	12	-6	15.1	15.2	-0.13	16.2	16.2	-0.02
Chris Mullin	56	57	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	11	-4	15.1	15.2	-0.04	16.2	16.1	0.17
Mark Jackson	58	57	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	9	0	15.2	15.0	0.27	16.4	15.7	0.72
Austin Croshere	32	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.19	-4	22	-26	14.7	15.4	-0.74	15.7	16.4	-0.73
Antonio Davis	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	19	-20	14.8	15.2	-0.34	14.1	16.5	-2.43
Etdrick Bohannon	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	12.5	15.2	-2.70	16.0	16.2	-0.16

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-18	18	14.2	16.4	-2.25	15.4	15.1	0.32
Darvin Ham	19	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-15	12	14.7	16.5	-1.80	16.8	14.7	2.10
Tracy Murray	52	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-20	22	14.5	18.4	-3.91	16.3	13.6	2.65
Chris Whitney	19	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-17	16	14.7	16.5	-1.86	14.4	15.3	-0.88
Tim Legler	33	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-12	6	16.1	16.2	-0.11	16.2	14.5	1.64
Calbert Cheaney	44	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.22	-19	1	-20	17.7	14.7	3.04	13.7	16.5	-2.75
Chris Webber	79	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-7	-4	16.2	16.2	0.01	15.6	12.5	3.03
Terry Davis	50	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-2	-14	17.3	14.8	2.45	13.5	16.8	-3.29
Rod Strickland	76	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	-3	-12	16.3	15.3	1.03	15.1	15.2	-0.10
Juwan Howard	77	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.03	-21	3	-24	16.5	14.3	2.27	15.0	15.9	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 92, DEN 66	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
DAL 113, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
MIN 91, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	96.4%