NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	125		Excitement	2.5 [1262]		MVP	Carlos Delfino (HOU): +14.3%
Utah Jazz	80		Comeback	1.1 [513]		LVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): -7.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	9	78%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	-0.00	0.05	15	66%	0.10	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Chandler Parsons	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	8	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.06	5	109%	0.06	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
James Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.12	0.00	0.15	9	73%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Greg Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Omer Asik	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.01	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	6	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	13	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	9	46%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	50%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	14	36%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.0	27.0	15.0	26.6	2.4	26.3	121.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.4%

HOU +1.8%

HOU +1.0%

HOU +12.0%

UTA -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	12.5	18.4	15.4	133.0	86.0	104.1
season	14.2	16.0		107.9	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.4		105.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.4	11.4	11.8	13.2	12.5
UTA	17.1	20.3	19.5	16.8	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	51	50	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.33	28	17	11	11.5	13.7	-2.20	19.3	17.3	2.08
Chandler Parsons	49	48	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.36	29	16	13	12.2	12.7	-0.49	19.5	17.2	2.24
Patrick Patterson	51	49	0.42	0.07	0.35	-0.31	25	20	5	11.4	13.7	-2.37	19.6	17.0	2.53
Jeremy Lin	48	48	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.33	25	20	5	11.3	13.7	-2.42	19.8	16.8	3.01
Carlos Delfino	40	40	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.35	21	24	-3	13.5	11.6	1.90	18.8	18.1	0.70
James Harden	55	54	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.28	18	27	-9	11.8	13.4	-1.67	18.5	18.2	0.25
Toney Douglas	46	45	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.49	20	25	-5	13.7	11.3	2.42	16.8	19.8	-3.01
Marcus Morris	26	28	0.07	0.42	-0.35	-0.39	16	29	-13	15.4	11.3	4.05	17.4	18.8	-1.41
Greg Smith	26	27	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.37	13	32	-19	15.2	11.4	3.83	17.7	18.6	-0.90
Patrick Beverley	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.32	11	34	-23	13.2	12.2	1.01	16.8	18.9	-2.14
James Anderson	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.32	11	34	-23	11.8	12.6	-0.77	16.6	18.9	-2.26
Donatas Motiejunas	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	41	-37	11.2	12.7	-1.49	16.4	18.8	-2.34
Cole Aldrich	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	41	-37	11.2	12.7	-1.49	16.4	18.8	-2.34

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.29	-10	-35	25	16.9	18.8	-1.96	13.2	12.2	1.01
Kevin Murphy	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.32	-11	-34	23	16.8	18.9	-2.14	13.2	12.2	1.01
Enes Kanter	38	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.45	-20	-25	5	17.7	18.9	-1.17	13.4	11.8	1.62
Earl Watson	17	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.00	-5	-40	35	17.5	18.6	-1.04	15.5	11.7	3.76
Derrick Favors	51	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.46	-21	-24	3	17.2	19.8	-2.66	13.9	10.6	3.32
DeMarre Carroll	22	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.22	-13	-32	19	17.2	18.7	-1.56	14.2	12.0	2.21
Randy Foye	58	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.42	-23	-22	-1	18.8	17.7	1.06	12.1	13.1	-1.05
Alec Burks	50	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.66	-32	-13	-19	17.9	18.9	-1.03	12.7	12.2	0.52
Jamaal Tinsley	37	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.24	-19	-26	7	19.8	17.4	2.38	10.8	13.5	-2.76
Marvin Williams	50	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.30	-22	-23	1	19.5	17.0	2.52	11.5	13.7	-2.23
Paul Millsap	42	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.36	-24	-21	-3	19.8	17.2	2.66	10.6	13.9	-3.32
Al Jefferson	55	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.37	-25	-20	-5	18.9	17.7	1.17	11.8	13.4	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 92, DEN 66	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIN 91, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	96.9%
HOU 120, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%