inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 95 Excitement7.3 [342] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +36.3%
San Antonio Spurs 98 Comeback2.8 [689] LVPJason Richardson (GSW): -21.9%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antawn Jamison0.140,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.140.090.070.022562%0.212-0.071080%-0.05
Mike Dunleavy-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.003117%0.093-0.0900%0.00
Bob Sura-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.02-0.00844%0.022-0.05250%-0.02
Earl Boykins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.010.031045%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jiri Welsch-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01657%-0.012-0.032100%0.01
Chris Mills-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.04-0.00450%-0.0600.00650%-0.07
Erick Dampier-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.001136%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Gilbert Arenas-0.200,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2-0.15-0.07-0.031033%-0.095-0.111100%0.01
Jason Richardson-0.220,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22-0.12-0.10-0.00822%-0.152-0.072100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.360.360.190.16-0.011882%0.423-0.069100%0.05
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.140.140.050.100.01667%0.1400.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.030.030.03-0.01-0.021465%0.093-0.06683%0.02
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.03-0.00250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05-0.050.01-0.040.02562%0.011-0.06367%0.01
David Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.000.00839%-0.011-0.04250%-0.02
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01350%0.013-0.092100%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.00617%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.16-0.02-0.02929%-0.094-0.08367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.11.831.016.827.41.837.3142.1
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +43.7%
SAS +12.1%
GSW -25.0%
SAS +10.4%
SAS +8.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game15.515.515.5101.1106.5101.6
season14.615.7105.3102.5
opponent15.415.196.9106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW16.016.512.617.115.5
SAS15.314.117.615.015.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Dunleavy43430.38-0.881.26-0.1217-203714.416.4-2.0414.716.1-1.40
Bob Sura40400.06-0.560.63-0.116-91515.715.30.4716.414.81.66
Jiri Welsch340.05-0.550.590.021-459.015.7-6.6920.015.34.72
Adonal Foyle5453-0.05-0.450.410.07-41-515.815.10.7015.914.91.03
Gilbert Arenas4748-0.16-0.340.18-0.222-5713.417.5-4.1114.516.6-2.07
Chris Mills119-0.30-0.20-0.100.14-1512-2720.214.95.3314.015.7-1.65
Erick Dampier5249-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.403-6916.314.51.7716.314.51.79
Earl Boykins5148-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.26-30-316.514.32.2515.315.7-0.33
Troy Murphy3738-0.520.02-0.55-0.520-3315.715.30.4116.414.91.54
Jason Richardson5251-0.650.15-0.80-0.33-118-1915.016.1-1.1614.616.6-1.98
Antawn Jamison8077-0.660.16-0.82-0.34-118-1915.614.90.7315.416.1-0.69

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Ferry42440.84-0.341.180.4912-92114.616.2-1.5615.415.6-0.22
Bruce Bowen75760.72-0.220.930.3413-102315.316.3-0.9916.411.44.99
Tim Duncan67710.66-0.160.820.457-41115.415.7-0.2616.313.03.22
David Robinson57590.65-0.150.800.3610-71716.114.51.6716.613.53.13
Tony Parker75780.410.090.320.4103-315.117.2-2.1414.918.5-3.64
Steve Kerr20200.080.42-0.330.11-14-514.815.7-0.8815.515.50.09
Malik Rose3835-0.140.64-0.780.00-58-1315.815.20.6013.016.9-3.95
Steven Smith2121-0.170.67-0.83-0.05-47-1113.416.1-2.6713.816.0-2.21
Kevin Willis1718-0.170.67-0.84-0.11-25-717.015.11.8516.615.21.40
Stephen Jackson4848-0.390.89-1.270.05-1518-3316.914.02.8514.616.4-1.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.47,0.53,0.81,0.95,0.93,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 92, POR 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.65,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,192.0%
NOP 81, DAL 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.47,0.65,0.81,0.92,0.97,1,191.8%
SAS 111, DAL 1130.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.8,0.93,0.9,0.9,191.6%